Blue Jays vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - June 22, 2024

Blue Jays at Guardians

8:10 pm • SNET

Toronto Blue Jays

31-29

3 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

32-27

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Lively			3.82	13-10
J.Berrios			3.60	16-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 31-29	+1.5-170	o9-106	+120
Guardians 32-27	-1.5+142	u9-112	-142

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 22, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

S.Kwan o1.5 Total Bases+110

1.1u

Under 9-108

1.08u

CLE -122 (F5)

0.41u

Flat to -130

CLE -124

0.5u

Bet to -133

B.Lively u17.5 Outs-123

Also -120 at DK. Under in 8/11, including his worst outing last weekend vs the Blue Jays. 3.94 pitches per PA, and has been pulled three times in the sixth inning, so he’s on a short leash. Worse vs righties, which bodes well for the Blue Jays better bats. And the guards got unexpected length from Carrasco on Friday. Plus, more great hitting weather in CLE on Sat.

Featured Insight
Blue Jays allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Guardians scored three or more runs in an inning just 61 times (4%) last season -- tied for lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Guardians RPs have allowed a SLG of just .296 this season -- best in MLB. Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .321 versus relief pitchers this season -- second worst in MLB.

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The Guardians are 40-1 (.976) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Blue Jays are just 3-33 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

The Blue Jays are just 5-12 (.294) after a road win this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .456.

The Guardians are 47-26 (.644) this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Daulton Varsho has an OPS of just .690 since last season -- 14th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .548 (430 PAs) since last season -- 10th best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Josh Naylor has a swing rate of 43% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .255 (12-for-47) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 8% (9/115) against Ben Lively this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 15% -- first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (41/226) against Ben Lively this season -- tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- fifth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 15-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Guardians' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	29-30	14-14	15-16	11-11	18-18
Blue Jays	36-24	21-12	15-12	14-11	22-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	26-30-3	12-15-1	14-15-2	12-10	14-19-3
Blue Jays	30-29-1	20-12-1	10-17	16-9	13-20-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	32-27	17-11	15-16	15-7	17-19
Blue Jays	31-29	20-13	11-16	15-10	16-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 21st	TOR	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE -130
Jun 20th	SEA	W 6-3	-	O 8	CLE -118
Jun 19th	SEA	W 8-0	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -155
Jun 18th	SEA	L 5-8	-1.5 L	O 9	SEA -135
Jun 16th	@TOR	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	TOR +100

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Spencer Turnbull
RP
Turnbull is out with back
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	86	5	3	5
LG.Cabrera, P	21	1	1	1
LB.Little, P	10	1	1	0
RN.Pearson, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	2-3	2	2	2
2S.Horwitz, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
3V.Guerrero, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4G.Springer, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Varsho, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Schneider, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
7E.Clement, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Kirk, C	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	82	5.2	4	2
RC.Smith, P	17	1	1	0
RS.Barlow, P	10	0.1	0	1
RH.Gaddis, P	8	1	2	0
RE.Clase, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-4	1	1	1
2A.Gimenez, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	1-4	1	0	0
6D.Schneemann, CF	1-4	1	1	1
7B.Naylor, C	1-4	1	1	2
8B.Rocchio, SS	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Martinez, DH	0-3	0	0	0