Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2024

Brewers at Cardinals

6:15 pm • BSWI

Milwaukee Brewers

40-23

12 - 5

St. Louis Cardinals

35-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Mikolas			5.35	10-11
D.Hall			5.02	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 40-23	+1.5-182	o8-116	+119
Cardinals 35-28	-1.5+151	u8-104	-140

Saturday 6:15 p.m.

April 20, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

M.Mikolas u4.5 Ks-132

0.66u

Mikolas has not topped a 7 SwStr% in any of his four starts this year or 5 of his last 7 last year.

D.Hall u2.5 BB-125

0.63u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

D.Hall u2.5 BB-125

1.25u

Over 4.5 (F5)-115

M.Mikolas u17.5 Outs+106

0.53u

Over 8-118

0.5u

MIL +105

Over 8-110

0.5u

Bet to -124 or 8.5 (-105)

MIL +112

0.56u

Both SPs have stunk (K% < 16.5% & xERA > 5), but MIL 135/127 wRC+ Hm/v RHP has been a far superior offense (STL 97/79) and defense. STL pen estimators 1/2 run better, but full game better price than F5 and MIL pen hasn't been bad.

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .169 (11-for-65) against Brewers RPs with RISP this season -- fifth best in MLB. The Cardinals are batting just .217 with RISP this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Cardinals right-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against LHP this season -- third lowest in MLB. Brewers have a strikeout rate of just 18% vs right-handed batters this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Saturday
Brad Cunningham•
Apr 20, 2024 UTC

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The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

56% of Brice Turang strikeouts are looking this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. 47% of Miles Mikolas strikeouts are looking this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (21/153) against Miles Mikolas this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .386 (22-for-57) against DL Hall this season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .245 -- third Percentile.

DL Hall has allowed an OPS of 1.130 (51 PA's) against right-handed batters this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .704 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 17-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Cardinals' 35 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	38-25	21-14	17-11	7-4	31-20
Brewers	38-25	20-14	18-11	26-17	12-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	27-32-4	17-16-2	10-16-2	4-6-1	22-26-3
Brewers	30-32-1	16-18	14-14-1	22-20-1	8-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	35-28	19-16	16-12	8-3	27-24
Brewers	40-23	21-13	19-10	29-14	11-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 20th	MIL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7	MIL +102
Apr 17th	@ATH	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	ATH -130
Apr 17th	@ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	STL -143
Apr 16th	@ATH	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	STL -174
Apr 14th	@ARI	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ARI +120

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out
Drew Rom
SP
Rom is out with biceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Hall, P	90	3.2	3	4
RB.Wilson, P	12	1.1	0	0
LH.Milner, P	17	1.1	1	0
RA.Uribe, P	30	1.2	2	0
RT.Vieira, P	21	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Frelick, LF	2-6	1	0	0
2W.Contreras, DH	3-6	2	0	1
3W.Adames, SS	2-6	1	0	1
4R.Hoskins, 1B	2-5	1	1	3
5O.Dunn, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
6G.Sanchez, C	2-5	0	0	0
7B.Perkins, CF	2-4	2	0	0
8B.Turang, 2B	2-5	2	1	2
9J.Chourio, RF	2-3	3	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	80	4.2	5	5
LZ.Thompson, P	25	0.2	0	3
RG.Gallegos, P	15	0.2	2	1
RA.Pallante, P	53	3	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Donovan, 2B	0-4	0	1
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-4	0	1
3W.Contreras, DH	1-3	1	1
4N.Arenado, 3B	1-2	0	2
5I.Herrera, C	0-4	0	0
6M.Winn, SS	0-4	0	0
7L.Nootbaar, LF	1-3	1	0
8J.Walker, RF	0-2	1	0
8A.Burleson, PH	0-1	0	0
8A.Burleson, RF	0-1	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	2-3	2	0