Cubs vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - August 31, 2024

Cubs at Nationals

8:05 pm • MLB Network

Chicago Cubs

3-0

5 - 3

Washington Nationals

1-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Herz			4.16	4-9
J.Assad			3.74	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 3-0	-1.5+143	o9-115	-112
Nationals 1-0	+1.5-170	u9-105	-108

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

August 31, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

J.Wood o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (Live)-125

1.25u

CHC -110

0.91u

I.Happ o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

WSH +110

Under 9-108

WSH +114

0.5u

Bet to +108

WSH +108 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +101

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 1.5 runs per game in late innings since last season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (296 games). The Nationals have allowed 1.5 runs per game in late innings since last season -- fifth highest in MLB (296 games).

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Alex Kolodziej•
Aug 31, 2024 UTC

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The Cubs are 30-7 (.811) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Cubs are 20-10 (.667) after a home loss this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Nationals are just 10-18 (.357) after a road win this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

CJ Abrams is batting just .224 with RISP since last season -- tied for 15th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .130 (27-for-207) against Javier Assad with RISP since last season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Jacob Young has an OPS of just .649 with RISP this season -- 14th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .414 (127 PAs) with RISP this season -- second best among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed a slugging percentage of .556 (15 Total Bases / 27 ABs) against right-handed batters in his last two starts -- 8th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .379 -- 12th Percentile.

Javier Assad has an average spin rate of 1946.3 RPM on fastballs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 2236.9 -- second Percentile.

Davidjohn Herz has a strikeout rate of 45% (27 SO in 60 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 30th	CHC	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8	CHC +135
Aug 28th	NYY	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH +185
Aug 27th	NYY	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH +212
Aug 26th	NYY	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 9	NYY +157
Aug 25th	@ATL	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8	WSH +160

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	90	6	4	3
RT.Miller, P	19	1	2	0
RJ.Lopez, P	15	1	1	0
RP.Hodge, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	0-4	0	1
2D.Swanson, SS	1-4	0	1
3S.Suzuki, DH	1-4	0	0
4C.Bellinger, RF	0-4	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	1-2	1	0
6M.Busch, 1B	1-3	1	0
7N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	2	0
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-3	0	1
9C.Bethancourt, C	1-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Herz, P	87	4.2	5	4
RJ.Barnes, P	5	0.1	0	0
LR.Garcia, P	27	2	0	0
RE.Salazar, P	9	0.2	0	0
LJ.La Sorsa, P	4	0.1	0	0
RT.Rainey, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Crews, RF	1-5	0	0	0
2J.Wood, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3L.Garcia, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Chaparro, DH	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Tena, 3B	3-3	1	0	0
6C.Abrams, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
8D.Millas, C	2-4	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	1-3	1	0	0