Cubs vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 6, 2024

Cubs at Reds

11:10 pm • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

3-4

4 - 8

Cincinnati Reds

5-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
J.Assad			3.74	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 3-4	+1.5-185	o9.5-107	+110
Reds 5-3	-1.5+154	u9.5-112	-130

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

June 06, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Over 9.5-105

$1285.71

CHC +0.5 (F5)-130

0.5u

Under 5.5 (F5)-140

0.36u

CIN o4.5-122

0.5u

See notes on Assad K prop + great park & weather, CIN 157 wRC+ L7 days, CHC terrible def

J.Assad u4.5 Ks+120

6.2 SwStr% absolutely can't support 23.2 K%. Don't care what his called strike rate is. Only 4 in CIN LU > 21.2 K% v RHP since LY.

J.Assad u16.5 Outs-120

$1.20

CHC +105

J.Assad u16.5 Outs-125

J.Assad o4.5 Ks-141

0.5u

CIN u4.5 Team Total-110

1.1u

Under 5 (F5)-110

0.55u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)+100

$1.00

Under 5 (F5)-110

$1.10

CIN -125

1.5u

Featured Insight
Cubs RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season -- second highest in MLB. Reds have struck out 24% since last season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have scored 5.8 runs per game over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB (6 games). The Cubs have allowed 6.2 runs per game over the last week -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (6 games).

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The Reds are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

33% of Cody Bellinger strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 58% of Hunter Greene's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

28% of Seiya Suzuki strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 87th Percentile. 55% of Hunter Greene's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has walked 5 of 18 batters (28%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days -- highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 2-0 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Reds' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	5-3	3-3	2-0	1-0	4-3
Cubs	3-4	3-3	0-1	3-3	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	3-4-1	3-3	0-1-1	0-1	3-3-1
Cubs	3-4	3-3	0-1	3-3	0-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	5-3	3-3	2-0	1-0	4-3
Cubs	3-4	3-3	0-1	3-3	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 5th	@COL	W 12-7	-1.5 W	O 12	CIN -148
Jun 5th	@COL	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 10.5	CIN -130
Jun 4th	@COL	W 13-3	-1.5 W	O 11	CIN -115
Jun 2nd	@CHC	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 7	CIN +104
Jun 1st	@CHC	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 7	CHC +125

Nick Lodolo
SP
Lodolo is out with finger
Out
Hunter Greene
SP
Greene is out with elbow
Out

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out
Seiya Suzuki
RF
Suzuki is out with knee
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	92	5.2	7	5
LL.Little, P	9	0.1	0	1
RP.Hodge, P	21	0.2	0	2
RK.Hendricks, P	17	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, RF	0-3	0	0	0
2S.Suzuki, DH	2-4	1	1	2
3C.Bellinger, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	1-3	1	1	2
5I.Happ, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Hoerner, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-3	1	0	0
9M.Busch, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	111	6.2	8	4
RF.Cruz, P	6	0.1	1	0
LS.Moll, P	19	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	18	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-4	1	0	1
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-5	1	1	3
3J.Candelario, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
3B.Dunn, PR	0-1	1	0	0
3B.Dunn, LF	0-1	1	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, DH	1-3	1	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	2-2	2	0	0
7J.Hurtubise, LF	0-1	1	0	0
7S.Espinal, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
8J.India, 2B	1-3	0	0	2
9W.Benson, RF	2-4	1	0	2