Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2024

Diamondbacks at Mariners

1:40 am • Fox Sports 1

Arizona Diamondbacks

14-10

1 - 3

Seattle Mariners

13-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Kirby			3.53	14-11
S.Cecconi			6.66	2-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 14-10	+1.5	+1.5-172	o7-122	+130
Mariners 13-11	u7.5	-1.5+145	u7+101	-155

Sunday 1:40 a.m.

April 28, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

J.Polanco o1.5 Total Bases+130

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives him an extreme advantage in this matchup and +ev bet with devig odds of -100 giving us value to this number

SEA -152

G.Kirby u5.5 Ks-135

1.35u

G.Kirby u5.5 Ks-115

1.15u

He’s only under in 2/5, but his overs all came against high K teams. ARI has the third lowest K% vs righties (18.9%), and have only been marginally worse in away games (19.3%). They also have the fourth lowest CSW%, which bodes well against Kirby, who doesn’t miss many bats to begin with (26th percentile whiff rate this year - was 27th last year).

ARI +140

0.5u

Bet to +132

Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a groundball rate of 48% this season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mariners hitters have a hard-hit rate of 46% over the last week -- second best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 48% against the Diamondbacks RPs over the last week -- fourth worst in MLB.

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MLB Player Props: Top 3 Bets For Saturday's Slate
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The Mariners are 68-14 (.829) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .783.

Eugenio Suarez has struck out in 31% of PA's since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Andres Munoz has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 6-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mariners' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	12-12	6-7	6-5	5-8	6-4
Diamondbacks	13-11	6-6	7-5	10-9	3-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	12-10-2	4-7-2	8-3	4-7-2	7-3
Diamondbacks	11-10-3	3-6-3	8-4	9-7-3	2-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	13-11	8-5	5-6	7-6	5-5
Diamondbacks	14-10	7-5	7-5	11-8	3-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	ARI	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SEA +110
Apr 25th	@TEX	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	SEA -118
Apr 25th	@TEX	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 9	TEX +124
Apr 24th	@TEX	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 9	SEA -118
Apr 22nd	@COL	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 11	SEA -120

Victor Robles
OF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out
George Kirby
P
Kirby is out with shoulder
Out

Jordan Montgomery
P
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Blaze Alexander
IF
Alexander is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Cecconi, P	84	6	8	1
RB.Jarvis, P	14	0.1	1	2
LJ.Mantiply, P	9	1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	14	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.McCarthy, RF	1-3	0	1
2L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0
3K.Marte, 2B	0-4	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	0	0
5J.Pederson, DH	0-4	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	0-3	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	0-3	0	0
8C.Carroll, CF	0-3	0	0
9B.Alexander, SS	1-2	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Kirby, P	95	7	12	0
RR.Stanek, P	23	1	1	1
RA.Munoz, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rojas, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-3	0	0	0
3C.Raleigh, C	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Haniger, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5J.Polanco, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
6T.France, 1B	1-3	1	1	2
7M.Garver, DH	1-3	1	0	0
8L.Raley, LF	2-3	0	0	1
9D.Moore, SS	0-3	0	0	0