Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 19, 2024

Diamondbacks at Nationals

8:05 pm • MASN2

Arizona Diamondbacks

41-42

1 - 3

Washington Nationals

43-42

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Corbin			5.62	6-13
B.Pfaadt			4.71	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 41-42	-1.5-109	o9.5-105	-173
Nationals 43-42	+1.5-111	u9.5-115	+145

Wednesday 8:05 p.m.

June 19, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)+100

ARI o5.5+105

0.5u

See ARI F5 - Also 90 degrees w/ double digit wind out to left.

K.Marte o1.5 Total Bases-140

K.Marte o1.5 Total Bases-135

2.7u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

1.25u

ARI -162 (F5)

0.62u

B.Pfaadt o17.5 Outs-159

0.63u

P.Corbin o3.5 Ks+135

K.Marte o0.5 HR+250

K.Marte o1.5 Total Bases-135

1.35u

C.Walker o1.5 Total Bases-105

1.05u

B.Pfaadt u5.5 Ks-140

ARI -145 (F5)

0.69u

-135 at B365. Bet to -180. Reduce risk past -165 F5 priced shorter price than full game?

ARI -150

ARI -145 (F5)

1.5u

Pfaadt 3.54 SIERA/3.12 xERA/106 Stuff+, Corbin 4.94/6.81/78 - WAS 97/94/113 wRC+ Hm/v L/RHP/L7 days, ARI 102/123/157 - Best def vs one of worst - WAS does have pen edge so we'll avoid that.

Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 65% of their games this season -- highest in MLB. The Nationals have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals left-handed hitters have struck out just 14% against RHP over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks have a strikeout rate of just 14% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Nationals are just 2-12 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.

The Nationals are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are 18-3 (.857) when they've had 10 or more hits this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .757.

The Diamondbacks are just 7-15 (.318) after a home win this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

Joc Pederson has an OPS of .919 this season -- 13th best among hitters with at least 105 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .911 (342 PAs) this season -- worst among qualified SPs-- first Percentile.

Ketel Marte has an OPS of .863 this season -- 15th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Tanner Rainey has allowed an OPS of .993 (93 PAs) this season -- second worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .316 (199-for-630) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 -- third Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .858 (687 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .656 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 30-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 28 of Nationals' 42 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	49-36	19-23	30-13	5-6	44-30
Diamondbacks	45-38	23-18	22-20	18-19	26-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	50-32-3	28-12-2	22-20-1	9-2	41-30-3
Diamondbacks	34-46-3	16-24-1	18-22-2	13-23-1	20-23-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	43-42	17-25	26-17	6-5	37-37
Diamondbacks	41-42	24-17	17-25	22-15	18-27

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 18th	ARI	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 9	ARI -125
Jun 16th	MIA	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	WSH -123
Jun 15th	MIA	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	WSH -125
Jun 14th	MIA	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	WSH -180
Jun 13th	@DET	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	DET +130

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	77	6.1	0	3
RK.Ginkel, P	14	0.2	0	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	0-4	0	0
2C.Carroll, CF	1-4	0	0
3L.Gurriel, LF	2-4	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	1	0
5R.Grichuk, RF	0-2	0	0
5J.Pederson, PH	0-1	0	0
6E.Suarez, DH	0-3	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	0-3	0	1
8B.Alexander, 3B	0-3	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	90	5	7	1
RD.Law, P	27	2	0	0
RH.Harvey, P	13	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Thomas, RF	0-3	1	0	0
2J.Winker, LF	1-3	1	1	2
3E.Rosario, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Meneses, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5L.Garcia, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Young, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Lipscomb, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8I.Vargas, PH	1-1	0	0	1
8I.Vargas, 3B	1-1	0	0	1
9N.Nunez, SS	0-2	0	0	0