Dodgers vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Dodgers at Astros

11:10 pm • SCHN

Los Angeles Dodgers

12-8

6 - 7

Houston Astros

10-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Blanco			2.80	13-6
J.Wrobleski			5.70	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 12-8	+1.5-157	o8.5-120	+136
Astros 10-9	-1.5+132	u8.5+100	-162

Saturday 11:10 p.m.

July 27, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

HOU -155

0.65u

LAD +143

HOU -150

LAD +136

$50.00

LAD +125

T.Hernandez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

LAD +133

0.5u

Bet to +125 (projected without Freeman)

HOU -135

2.22u

R.Blanco u17.5 Outs+126

1.26u

Blanco has been really good this season - but even so, he’s under in 5/L10. On paper, this should be a brutal spot for him. The Dodgers are mashing righties: L3 weeks - 134 wRC+, .824 OPS, .216 ISO. In terms of wRAA, the Dodgers are the #1 team against both the slider and changeup, and 11th vs the 4-seamer - Blanco throws the three to put away batters almost equally. Plus, Blanco is 140th of 169 in zone% (for pitchers with 50+ IP). Dodgers have the third lowest chase rate, and the third highest pitches per PA. Plus, Framber just went 6.1 IP after an off day - bullpen should be fresh.

Featured Insight
Dodgers have a strikeout rate of 29% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- third highest in MLB. Astros left-handed hitters have struck out 38% against RHP over the last week -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Astros hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last week -- second best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 46% against the Dodgers RPs over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Dodgers are 33-20 (.623) at home this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Astros are 10-6 (.625) after a win as underdogs this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.

The Dodgers are 7-36 (.163) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Teoscar Hernandez has struck out in 30% of PA's since last season -- seventh highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Bryan Abreu has a strikeout rate of 34% since last season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Jeremy Pena has an OPS of just .715 since the 2022 season -- 13th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Evan Phillips has allowed an OPS of just .529 (601 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .130 (6-for-46) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 -- 100th Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has walked 24 of 172 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 16% (3/19) against Justin Wrobleski in his last two starts -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (4/27) against Justin Wrobleski in his last two starts -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 27th	LAD	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8	HOU -140
Jul 24th	@ATH	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	HOU -151
Jul 24th	@ATH	L 2-8	-1.5 L	O 9	ATH -142
Jul 23rd	@ATH	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	ATH -152
Jul 21st	@SEA	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	SEA -102

Clayton Kershaw
P
Kershaw is out with toe
Out

Michael Kopech
P
Kopech is questionable with arm
Questionable
Michael Grove
P
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
River Ryan
P
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Taylor Trammell
OF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
OF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
P
France is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Wrobleski, P	82	5.2	2	2
RE.Phillips, P	15	0	0	2
LA.Banda, P	13	1.1	2	0
RD.Hudson, P	22	0.2	0	2
RB.Treinen, P	5	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Ohtani, DH	2-3	2	1	2
2W.Smith, C	0-5	0	0	0
3G.Lux, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
3M.Vargas, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3M.Vargas, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
4T.Hernandez, LF	1-5	0	0	1
5J.Heyward, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5A.Pages, PH	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Pages, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Outman, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7E.Hernandez, 3B	0-1	2	0	0
8C.Biggio, 1B	2-3	1	1	2
8C.Biggio, 2B	2-3	1	1	2
9N.Ahmed, SS	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Blanco, P	99	4.1	9	4
LB.King, P	19	0.2	2	0
RS.Dubin, P	21	1	2	1
RB.Abreu, P	10	1	0	0
RT.Scott, P	26	1	3	1
LJ.Hader, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-5	2	1	1
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4Y.Diaz, C	3-4	2	0	1
5J.Pena, SS	2-4	2	0	2
6J.Meyers, CF	1-4	0	0	1
7M.Dubon, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7V.Caratini, PH	1-1	0	0	1
7J.Loperfido, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7J.Loperfido, LF	0-0	0	0	0
8J.Singleton, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
9C.McCormick, RF	1-3	1	0	0
9T.Cabbage, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Cabbage, RF	0-0	0	0	0