Giants vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 12, 2023

Giants at Cardinals

11:45 pm • BSMW

San Francisco Giants

27-41

4 - 3

St. Louis Cardinals

36-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Liberatore			5.25	3-6
L.Webb			3.25	11-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 27-41	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cardinals 36-28	N/A	N/A	N/A

Monday 11:45 p.m.

June 12, 2023

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

STL +104

Under 8-105

STL +110

0.5u

STL +116 (F5)

0.5u

SF -120

0.5u

Webb is more than 2 runs better by estimators. Even though Liberatore has started just three games this year, PitchingBot grades support the poor performance. SFG 93 wRC+ v LHP, but are getting healthier with the projected LU much better than that number. The real shocker here (after last year) is that the SFG defense has been 11 Runs Prevented better. SFG pen estimators have been more than half a run better L30 days too. Small for now, could add more later.

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Monday
Billy Ward•
Jun 12, 2023 UTC

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The Cardinals are just 11-139 (.073) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season -- 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.

Nolan Gorman is slugging .534 on non-fastballs since last season -- eighth best among hitters with at least 337 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Logan Webb has thrown off-speed pitches 61% of the time since last season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

60% of Dylan Carlson fastball strikeouts are located away since last season -- 10th highest among hitters with at least 337 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. 67% of Logan Webb fastball strikeouts are located away since last season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Matthew Liberatore has walked 8 of 53 right-handed batters (15%) over the last 30 days (4 games) -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 18-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Cardinals' 35 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	39-25	21-14	18-11	7-4	32-20
Giants	29-39	12-18	17-21	8-15	21-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	27-33-4	17-16-2	10-17-2	4-6-1	22-27-3
Giants	33-31-4	15-13-2	18-18-2	15-6-2	17-25-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	36-28	19-16	17-12	8-3	28-24
Giants	27-41	12-18	15-23	10-13	17-27

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 11th	CIN	L 3-4	-	-	-
Jun 10th	CIN	L 4-8	-	-	-
Jun 10th	CIN	W 7-4	-	-	-
Jun 8th	@TEX	W 1-0	-	-	-
Jun 7th	@TEX	L 4-6	-	-	-

Hayden Birdsong
SP
Birdsong is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Webb, P	88	7	6	3
RT.Rogers, P	19	0.2	0	0
RC.Doval, P	27	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Slater, CF	3-5	1	0
1M.Yastrzemski, CF	0-0	0	0
2T.Estrada, 2B	0-4	1	0
3W.Flores, 1B	2-4	1	0
4J.Davis, DH	1-5	0	1
5M.Haniger, LF	2-5	0	2
6M.Conforto, RF	0-4	0	0
7C.Schmitt, 3B	0-4	0	0
8P.Bailey, C	2-3	1	0
9B.Crawford, SS	2-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Liberatore, P	86	6	5	2
RA.Pallante, P	23	1	1	1
RC.Stratton, P	22	1	0	1
LS.Matz, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-5	1	1	2
3N.Gorman, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
5W.Contreras, C	0-3	0	0	0
6D.Carlson, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Walker, LF	2-4	0	0	0
8P.DeJong, SS	2-4	1	1	1
9T.Edman, CF	0-3	0	0	0