Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2023

Guardians at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Cleveland Guardians

37-32

5 - 2

Boston Red Sox

27-38

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.04	10-9
S.Bieber			3.80	6-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 37-32	N/A	N/A	N/A
Red Sox 27-38	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 11:10 p.m.

April 28, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-120

$1.20

Under 9-120

Over 8.5-117

Under 9-112

0.5u

Bet to -115 or 8.5 (+103)

BOS +120

0.5u

Bet to +115

Over 8.5-120

1.2u

Bieber has been bad (4.63 SIERA/5.14 xERA) - CLE off. has been bad (93/85/79 wRC+ Rd/v RHP/L7 days) - CLE def has been bad (-7 Runs Prevented) - BOS off has been good (107/108/125) - Pivetta hasn't been great (4.21 SIERA/5.49 xERA) - Neither has BOS def (-4 Runs Prevneted) - both pens middle of the league by estimators

BOS +120

Bieber has been bad (4.63 SIERA/5.14 xERA) - CLE off. has been bad (93/85/79 wRC+ Rd/v RHP/L7 days) - CLE def has been bad (-7 Runs Prevented) - BOS off has been good (107/108/125)

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Friday
Billy Ward•
Apr 28, 2023 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 16-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Red Sox' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	26-39	10-21	16-18	15-26	10-13
Guardians	36-33	17-16	19-17	17-22	19-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	28-34-3	10-19-2	18-15-1	17-22-2	11-11-1
Guardians	34-35	17-16	17-19	20-19	14-16

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	27-38	10-21	17-17	17-24	9-14
Guardians	37-32	17-16	20-16	21-18	16-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	@BAL	L 2-6	-	-	-
Apr 25th	@BAL	W 8-6	-	-	-
Apr 24th	@BAL	L 4-5	-	-	-
Apr 23rd	@MIL	W 12-5	-	-	-
Apr 22nd	@MIL	L 4-5	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Bieber, P	99	7	4	2
RT.Stephan, P	14	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	1	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
5J.Bell, DH	1-3	0	0	1
6A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7M. Zunino, C	1-4	1	1	1
8W.Brennan, RF	1-3	2	1	1
9M.Straw, CF	1-4	0	0	1

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P		100	5	5	4
RK.Crawford, P		52	4	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	0-4	0	1
2M.Yoshida, LF	1-4	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	1-4	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, PR	0-0	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, DH	0-0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	0-3	0	0
5T.Casas, 1B	0-3	1	0
6J.Duran, CF	3-4	0	0
7E.Hernandez, SS	2-4	1	1
8R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0
9E.Valdez, 2B	1-4	0	0