Red Sox vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 22, 2023

Red Sox at Brewers

11:10 pm • BSWIX

Boston Red Sox

0-0

4 - 5

Milwaukee Brewers

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
W.Miley			3.14	9-4
G.Whitlock			5.15	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 0-0	+1.5-185	o8.5-110	+110
Brewers 0-0	-1.5+150	u8.5-110	-130

Saturday 11:10 p.m.

April 22, 2023

American Family FieldMilwaukee

W.Miley u4.5 Ks-138

Miley is coming off a nice 8 K game and his underlying metrics suggest his K/9 should be a bit higher than 7.0 after 3 starts. However, this number is a bit too high for him, especially against a Red Sox lineup with a ton of great contact hitters. Masataka Yoshida is one of the toughest hitters to K and Miley’s most likely K victims are the #8/9 hitters but I’m only giving him a 27% chance of getting to face them a 3rd time. Projecting this closer to -190

BOS -105 (F5)

0.42u

BOS +105

0.4u

BOS +117

Under 8.5-105

1.58u

BOS +0.5 (F5)-141

BOS o2.5 (F5)+130

0.5u

BOS +100 (F5)

0.5u

Need +100 or better

BOS +115

0.52u

Bet to +110

Saturday MLB Props: How to Bet Kuhl, Miley & Musgrove
Doug Ziefel•
Apr 22, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 22, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Red Sox are just 9-11 (.450) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 22nd	BOS	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BOS -170
Apr 19th	@SEA	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIL +115
Apr 19th	@SEA	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 8	MIL +140
Apr 18th	@SEA	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL -145
Apr 16th	@SD	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 8	MIL +150

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Whitlock, P	81	4	1	5
LR. Bleier, P	4	1	0	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	9	1	1	0
RK.Crawford, P	34	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Turner, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, LF	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Duran, PH	0-2	0	0	0
3J.Duran, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3J.Duran, CF	0-2	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
5K.Hernandez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Hernandez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	2-4	0	0	0
7C. Arroyo, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
7R. Tapia, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7R. Tapia, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Wong, C	0-2	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-2	0	0	0
9Y. Chang, SS	1-3	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LW.Miley, P	80	5	3	2
RJ.Payamps, P	28	1	1	2
RP.Strzelecki, P	14	1.1	0	0
LH.Milner, P	10	0.2	2	0
RD.Williams, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	2-4	2	0	1
2J.Winker, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3W.Adames, SS	3-4	0	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
5W.Contreras, C	1-4	1	0	0
6B.Anderson, 3B	1-3	0	0	1
7B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Wiemer, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Perkins, RF	1-3	1	0	0