Mariners vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2024

Mariners at Rays

4:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Seattle Mariners

4-9

5 - 2

Tampa Bay Rays

5-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Pepiot			3.60	8-8
G.Kirby			3.53	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 4-9	-1.5+162	o7-112	-105
Rays 5-7	+1.5-195	u7-108	-112

Wednesday 4:10 p.m.

June 26, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

Under 3.5 (F5)-110

0.5u

SEA -115

G.Kirby u6.5 Ks-110

Odds boost -145 to -110

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

$1.00

R.Pepiot o15.5 Outs+100

G.Kirby u6.5 Ks-140

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

SEA -114

1.32u

SEA -108

0.93u

Under 7.5-110

0.5u

Negative run environment - Kirby 3.34 SIERA/3.39 xERA/106 Stuff+, Pepiot 3.57/3.80/118 - SEA 95/99 Rd/v RHP, TBR 96/96 - SEA strong def & bullpen, TBR average or better

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 36% against the Mariners RPs this season -- fifth best in MLB. Rays hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- tied for second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Rays have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season -- third highest in MLB. Mariners have struck out 26% since last season -- highest in MLB.

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MLB NRFI & YRFI Model Picks for Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Jun 26, 2024 UTC
Mariners vs Rays: Bet Seattle at Tropicana
D.J. James•
Jun 26, 2024 UTC

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The Rays are 4-34 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Rays are 64-36 (.640) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Yandy Diaz is batting .307 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .283 (125-for-441) on George Kirby breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- second worst among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP-- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .128 (15-for-117) against Ryan Pepiot's fastball this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .256 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 4-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' 3 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	5-7	1-2	4-5	3-4	2-3
Mariners	4-9	3-4	1-5	3-7	1-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	8-3-1	2-1	6-2-1	5-1-1	3-2
Mariners	5-8	4-3	1-5	5-5	0-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	5-7	1-2	4-5	3-4	2-3
Mariners	4-9	3-4	1-5	3-7	1-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 25th	SEA	W 11-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	TB +110
Jun 24th	SEA	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB -115
Jun 23rd	@PIT	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB +142
Jun 22nd	@PIT	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT -105
Jun 21st	@PIT	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 9	TB -130

Gavin Lux
LF
Lux is out with shoulder
Out

Miles Mastrobuoni
3B
Mastrobuoni is out with calf
Out
Bryce Miller
SP
Miller is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Kirby, P	87	6	7	1
RA.Voth, P	13	1	0	0
RR.Stanek, P	16	1	1	0
RA.Munoz, P	18	0	0	1
RT.Thornton, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	2-3	0	0	2
2J.Rojas, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
3J.Rodriguez, CF	0-3	1	0	0
4C.Raleigh, DH	1-2	1	1	3
5T.France, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Garver, C	1-4	1	0	0
7D.Canzone, RF	1-3	1	0	0
7V.Robles, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7V.Robles, RF	0-1	0	0	0
8D.Moore, LF	0-3	0	0	0
9R.Bliss, 2B	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P	88	5.1	8	1
RS.Armstrong, P	22	0.2	0	2
RK.Kelly, P	27	1	2	2
RJ.Adam, P	25	1	2	0
LC.Poche, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-4	0	1
2J.Lowe, RF	0-3	1	0
3R.Arozarena, LF	0-3	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	0-3	0	0
5R.Palacios, DH	0-4	0	1
6A.Rosario, 2B	0-4	0	0
7J.Siri, CF	0-3	0	0
8J.Caballero, SS	3-3	1	0
9A.Jackson, C	0-3	0	0