Mets vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 29, 2024

Mets at Brewers

7:10 pm • BSWI

New York Mets

7-6

5 - 0

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			4.29	12-6
D.Peterson			2.90	10-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5	-1.5+120	o8-108	-142
Brewers 1-2	u8	+1.5-142	u8-112	+120

Sunday 7:10 p.m.

September 29, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

Under 8-110

0.91u

#ProSystem ... windy unders Overall: 544-315-33,63% (ROI:22%) Season:40-31-1,56% (ROI:9%)

MIL +103

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Featured Insight
Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of 42% this season -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Brewers RPs this season -- tied for third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- lowest in MLB (212 games). The Mets have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- third lowest in MLB (197 games).

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The Mets are 73-21 (.777) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

William Contreras has a groundball rate of 54% this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against David Peterson this season -- 14th highest among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

47% of Jesse Winker strikeouts are looking this season -- third highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. 47% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking this season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 50% (119/236) against David Peterson on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: 35% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 54% (100/184) against David Peterson on sliders since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: 35% -- first Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed an OBP of .524 (42 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .297 -- 0 Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed an OBP of .337 (276 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 -- 16th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 28th	NYM	W 6-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIL -115
Sep 28th	NYM	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL -103
Sep 26th	@PIT	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIL -120
Sep 25th	@PIT	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -159
Sep 24th	@PIT	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 8	MIL -153

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LD.Peterson, P	95	7	8
RP.Maton, P	23	1	1
RE.Diaz, P	26	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-4	2	1	2
2J.Iglesias, 2B	2-5	0	0	0
2J.Iglesias, 3B	2-5	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	0	0	1
4M.Vientos, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
4E.Alvarez, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
5P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Martinez, DH	2-5	1	0	0
6L.Acuna, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6L.Acuna, DH	0-0	0	0	0
7S.Marte, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	0-1	0	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	2-3	1	0	2
8L.Torrens, C	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Taylor, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9T.Taylor, RF	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	106	5.2	5	5
LH.Milner, P	17	1.1	0	0
LD.Hall, P	29	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Chourio, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3W.Adames, SS	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Monasterio, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Bauers, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5E.Haase, C	0-3	0	0	0
5G.Mitchell, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6I.Collins, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Perkins, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8G.Sanchez, DH	1-2	0	0	0
9J.Ortiz, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Ortiz, SS	0-3	0	0	0