Brewers vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - September 25, 2024

Brewers at Pirates

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT
1 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Luis L. Ortiz logoL.OrtizPittsburgh Pirates logo3.327-6
Freddy Peralta logoF.PeraltaMilwaukee Brewers logo3.6811-9

Brewers at Pirates Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers
1-2
-1.5
-1.5+105
o8-112
-159
Pirates
0-0
u7.5
+1.5-125
u8-107
+134
location pinWednesday 10:40 p.m.
September 25, 2024
PNC ParkPittsburgh
Brewers vs. Pirates Expert Picks
Picks  Office
Picks Office
77d ago
Last 30d: 111-102-5 (+0.8u)
Over 7.5-115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta, despite solid overall numbers, has been inconsistent lately, particularly with his 1.57 WHIP over his last 3 starts. His vulnerability to home runs, allowing 26 this season, could prove costly against a Pirates lineup desperate to make an impact at home. Meanwhile, Luis Ortiz has struggled mightily over his last three starts with a 5.17 ERA and an alarming 1.40 WHIP, giving up 7 earned runs to a weak Kansas City lineup in his most recent outing. Ortiz’s Hard Hit rate of 38.1% and an xwOBA of .323 indicate he is prone to allowing hard contact, a dangerous combination against a hot Milwaukee offense. Milwaukee’s bullpen has been good, but Peralta’s inconsistency could force them into the game earlier than expected. Pittsburgh’s bullpen, on the other hand, has been shaky, allowing a 4.50 ERA over the last 46 innings. Key arms like Isiah Mattson and Kyle Nicolas have struggled, with Mattson posting an 8.10 ERA and Nicolas an eye-popping 12.00 ERA in recent appearances. This opens the door for Milwaukee to add insurance runs late in the game. Todd Tichenor’s presence behind the plate further tilts the scales toward the over, as games he’s umpired have averaged 8.86 runs with a 16-11 O/U record. While both teams have shown the ability to trend under in certain situations, the combination of Pittsburgh’s poor recent pitching form and Milwaukee’s offensive efficiency suggests this one will buck the trend.
Gamblers Dream
Gamblers Dream
77d ago
Last 30d: 23-41-1 (-22.8u)
Over 7.5-115
1.15u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
77d ago
Last 30d: 283-245-11 (+22.5u)
Under 8-118
0.85u
#ProSystem . umpire friendly unders Overall: 2158-1501-186,59% (ROI:14%) Season:78-49-4,61% (ROI:18%)
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
77d ago
Last 30d: 19-36-0 (-5.3u)
Over 7.5-115
0.58u
Bet to -115
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
77d ago
Last 30d: 15-12-1 (-0.9u)
Over 7.5-112
1.12u

PRO Insights

Brewers logo

Brewers

MIL Insights
  • Brewers logoBrewers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season -- tied for lowest in MLB. The Pirates have scored in at least three different innings in just 41% of their games since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.
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Pirates logo

Pirates

PIT Insights
  • Pirates logoPirates RPs have allowed an OPS of just .481 (84 PAs) over the last week -- second best in MLB. Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .584 over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.
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Brewers vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis

  • Our MLB Best Bets for Wednesday Night article feature image

    Our MLB Best Bets for Wednesday Night

    Action Network Staff
    Sep 26, 2024 UTC
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Brewers vs. Pirates Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Brewers vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages

80%

Bets%

20%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
88-7443-3845-3629-3459-39
Brewers
87-7544-3743-3843-4843-26

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pirates
77-81-440-38-337-43-131-30-246-50-2
Brewers
81-70-1140-33-841-37-341-43-740-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
76-8639-4237-4435-2841-57
Brewers
93-6947-3446-3554-3738-31

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 24thMILL 2-7+1.5 LO 8MIL +129
Sep 22nd@CINW 2-0-1.5 WU 8PIT -108
Sep 21st@CINL 1-7+1.5 LU 9CIN +105
Sep 20th@CINL 3-8+1.5 LO 9CIN +109
Sep 19th@STLW 3-2+1.5 WU 8.5PIT +130

Brewers vs. Pirates Injury Updates

Brewers Injuries

  • Christian Yelich
    OF

    Yelich is out with back

    Out

  • Brandon Woodruff
    P

    Woodruff is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Robert Gasser
    P

    Gasser is out with elbow

    Out

Pirates Injuries

  • Ke'Bryan Hayes
    IF

    Hayes is out with back

    Out

  • Johan Oviedo
    P

    Oviedo is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Endy Rodriguez
    C

    Rodriguez is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Brewers vs. Pirates Box Score
Brewers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Freddy Peralta logoRF.Peralta, P965.172
Aaron Ashby logoLA.Ashby, P251.230
DL Hall logoLD.Hall, P19110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Brice Turang logo1B.Turang, 2B0-3000
Jackson Chourio logo2J.Chourio, LF0-4000
William Contreras logo3W.Contreras, C1-4000
Garrett Mitchell logo4G.Mitchell, CF0-3000
Blake Perkins logo4B.Perkins, PH0-1000
Willy Adames logo5W.Adames, SS1-4000
Jake Bauers logo6J.Bauers, DH1-3111
Rhys Hoskins logo7R.Hoskins, 1B1-3000
Sal Frelick logo8S.Frelick, RF1-3000
Joey Ortiz logo9J.Ortiz, 3B0-3000
Pirates Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Luis L. Ortiz logoRL.Ortiz, P92751
Dennis Santana logoRD.Santana, P5100
Aroldis Chapman logoLA.Chapman, P17110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo1I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B2-4000
Bryan Reynolds logo2B.Reynolds, LF0-4000
Oneil Cruz logo3O.Cruz, CF0-3000
Andrew McCutchen logo4A.McCutchen, DH0-3000
Nick Gonzales logo5N.Gonzales, 2B0-3000
Jared Triolo logo6J.Triolo, 1B0-3000
Yasmani Grandal logo7Y.Grandal, C0-2100
Nick Yorke logo8N.Yorke, RF0-2100
Billy Cook logo8B.Cook, RF0-0000
Liover Peguero logo9L.Peguero, SS1-3002

Brewers vs. Pirates Odds Comparison

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Brewers at Pirates Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Brewers
1-2
o4.5+105
u4.5-130
Pirates
0-0
o3.5+106
u3.5-136