Brewers vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - September 25, 2024

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta, despite solid overall numbers, has been inconsistent lately, particularly with his 1.57 WHIP over his last 3 starts. His vulnerability to home runs, allowing 26 this season, could prove costly against a Pirates lineup desperate to make an impact at home. Meanwhile, Luis Ortiz has struggled mightily over his last three starts with a 5.17 ERA and an alarming 1.40 WHIP, giving up 7 earned runs to a weak Kansas City lineup in his most recent outing. Ortiz’s Hard Hit rate of 38.1% and an xwOBA of .323 indicate he is prone to allowing hard contact, a dangerous combination against a hot Milwaukee offense. Milwaukee’s bullpen has been good, but Peralta’s inconsistency could force them into the game earlier than expected. Pittsburgh’s bullpen, on the other hand, has been shaky, allowing a 4.50 ERA over the last 46 innings. Key arms like Isiah Mattson and Kyle Nicolas have struggled, with Mattson posting an 8.10 ERA and Nicolas an eye-popping 12.00 ERA in recent appearances. This opens the door for Milwaukee to add insurance runs late in the game. Todd Tichenor’s presence behind the plate further tilts the scales toward the over, as games he’s umpired have averaged 8.86 runs with a 16-11 O/U record. While both teams have shown the ability to trend under in certain situations, the combination of Pittsburgh’s poor recent pitching form and Milwaukee’s offensive efficiency suggests this one will buck the trend.