Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Nationals at Cardinals

11:15 pm • BSMW

Washington Nationals

9-9

14 - 3

St. Louis Cardinals

8-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Gibson			4.24	8-8
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 9-9	+1.5-163	o8.5-102	+129
Cardinals 8-11	-1.5+135	u8.5-118	-153

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

July 27, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

STL -1-110

K.Gibson o4.5 Ks-108

1.08u

J.Irvin u4.5 Ks+104

0.5u

Projection lands at 4.18 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -121 on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

Featured Insight
Nationals have struck out just 19% this month -- fourth lowest in MLB. Cardinals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 18% this month -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cardinals have scored in at least three different innings in 63% of their games this month -- fourth highest in MLB. Nationals have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 60% of their games this month -- tied for third highest in MLB.

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The Cardinals are 13-9 (.591) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .447.

CJ Abrams has an OPS of just .714 since the 2022 season -- 12th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .494 (566 PAs) since the 2022 season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Lane Thomas is batting just .193 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- tied for 14th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .158 (74-for-467) on Sonny Gray breaking pitches since last season -- fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (228/416) with runners in scoring position this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has walked 18 of 106 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 27th	WSH	L 8-10	-1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -166
Jul 24th	@PIT	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -112
Jul 23rd	@PIT	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	STL +150
Jul 22nd	@PIT	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT +105
Jul 21st	@ATL	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 9	STL +120

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	96	5.1	5	2
LJ.Ferrer, P	25	1.2	1	0
RE.Salazar, P	24	1	2	1
RT.Rainey, P	17	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-5	1	0	0
1N.Nunez, SS	0-0	1	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	1-4	3	0	0
3J.Winker, DH	2-3	0	0	1
3H.Ramirez, PH	3-3	2	0	3
3H.Ramirez, DH	3-3	2	0	3
4J.Yepez, 1B	2-5	1	0	3
5J.Wood, LF	4-5	2	0	2
6K.Ruiz, C	1-6	1	1	3
7L.Garcia, 2B	2-5	0	0	2
8T.Lipscomb, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gibson, P	97	5	0	2
RC.Roycroft, P	25	0.1	1	3
LM.Liberatore, P	18	0.2	0	4
RG.Gallegos, P	43	1.2	4	1
RB.Crawford, P	35	1.1	0	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2A.Burleson, DH	1-5	1	0	0
3W.Contreras, C	1-3	1	1	2
4B.Donovan, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4B.Donovan, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
5N.Arenado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Carpenter, 1B	1-1	0	0	1
6L.Nootbaar, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Carlson, LF	0-1	0	0	0
8N.Gorman, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8N.Gorman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	1-4	0	0	0