Nationals vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 26, 2024

Nationals at Marlins

11:10 pm • MASN2

Washington Nationals

11-13

3 - 1

Miami Marlins

11-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Maldonado			5.68	1-1
T.Williams			2.03	6-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 11-13	+1.5	+1.5-193	o8.5-105	+105
Marlins 11-13	u8.5	-1.5+160	u8.5-114	-125

Friday 11:10 p.m.

April 26, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

WSH +100 (Live)

Under 8.5-112

0.5u

WSH +105

2.1u

Under 8.5-115

0.87u

… windy unders Overall: 909-660-81,58% (ROI:11%) Season:5-2-0,71% (ROI:37%)

Featured Insight
Nationals have allowed a run just 20% of the time after an opposing score this season -- third lowest in MLB. The Marlins have answered-back in just 21% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Marlins RPs since last season -- second best in MLB. Nationals hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% since last season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Nationals are just 22-26 (.458) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Marlins are 7-75 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

CJ Abrams is slugging .867 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. 92% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- eighth highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Trevor Williams has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 51% (549/1,070) of the time since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 63% -- 0 Percentile.

Trevor Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of .474 (143 Total Bases / 302 ABs) when ahead in the count since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .308 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Marlins' 16 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	12-12	8-8	4-4	0-2	12-10
Nationals	12-12	8-3	4-9	1-3	11-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	15-9	10-6	5-3	1-1	14-8
Nationals	12-12	7-4	5-8	3-1	9-11

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	11-13	8-8	3-5	2-0	9-13
Nationals	11-13	7-4	4-9	2-2	9-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 24th	@ATL	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	ATL +220
Apr 23rd	@ATL	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +215
Apr 22nd	@ATL	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 9.5	ATL +180
Apr 21st	@CHC	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIA +105
Apr 20th	@CHC	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC +180

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Ryan Weathers
P
Weathers is out with arm
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Michael Soroka
P
Soroka is out with biceps
Out
Paul DeJong
IF
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
IF
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
P
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Williams, P	80	5	1	1
RD.Law, P	31	2	5	0
RH.Harvey, P	10	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	6	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-3	1	0
2J.Winker, LF	1-3	0	0
3J.Meneses, 1B	1-4	0	2
4L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	0	0
5K.Ruiz, C	0-3	0	0
6E.Rosario, RF	0-4	0	0
7J.Gallo, DH	0-4	0	0
8T.Lipscomb, 3B	2-4	1	0
9J.Young, CF	2-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Maldonado, P	36	3	2	0
RK.Tyler, P	21	2	1	1
LA.Nardi, P	13	1	1	0
RB.Hoeing, P	13	1	2	0
RC.Faucher, P	22	0.2	1	2
RB.Smith, P	8	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	0-3	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, DH	0-3	0	0
3J.Chisholm, CF	0-4	0	0
4J.Bell, 1B	0-4	0	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0
6T.Anderson, SS	1-4	0	0
7N.Gordon, LF	1-3	0	0
8V.Brujan, 3B	2-3	1	0
9N.Fortes, C	1-3	0	1