Nationals vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2024
Nationals at Marlins
5:40 pm • BSFLStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.64 | 5-6 | |
 |  | 5.62 | 6-13 |
Nationals at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Nationals 11-13 | +1.5-175 | o8.5-105 | +115 | |
Marlins 11-13 | -1.5+145 | u8.5-115 | -135 | |
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Nationals vs. Marlins Expert Picks
Bruce Marshall
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
WSH +120
1.2u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-110
0.55u
Scott Pritchard
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 8.5-115
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 431-648-18 (-16.2u)
Under 8.5-115
1u
... early unders for division games and game just went over
Overall: 326-245-28,57% (ROI:10%)
Season:1-2-0,33% (ROI:-36%)
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 101-109-4 (-9.2u)
WSH +124
1.24u
PRO Insights
Nationals
WSH Insights
- Featured InsightNationals have allowed a run just 19% of the time after an opposing score this season -- second lowest in MLB. The Marlins have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.
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Marlins
MIA Insights
- Featured InsightMarlins left-handed hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Nationals have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters since last season -- second lowest in MLB.
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Nationals vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Nationals vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Nationals are just 22-26 (.458) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Matchup Contrasts
Luis Arraez has struck out in just 5% of PA's over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last two weeks -- tied for eighth lowest among qualified SPs-- ninth Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Hitters have swung at 26% of Ryan Weathers' breaking pitches (27/103) this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .345 (39-for-113) against Patrick Corbin this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 -- second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .318 (178-for-560) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 -- third Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Nationals vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Marlins' 16 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Marlins vs. Nationals Injury Updates
Marlins Injuries
- Braxton GarrettP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Ryan WeathersP
Weathers is out with arm
Out
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Nationals Injuries
- Michael SorokaP
Soroka is out with biceps
Out
- Paul DeJongIF
DeJong is out with nose
Out
- Josiah GrayP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
- Andres ChaparroIF
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
- Cade CavalliP
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
- DJ HerzP
Herz is out with elbow
Out
Nationals vs. Marlins Box Score
Nationals Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 93 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 16 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | |
 | 19 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 | 2-6 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Marlins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 87 | 4 | 3 | 6 | |
 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Nationals vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Nationals at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Nationals 11-13 | o3.5-130 | u3.5+100 |
Marlins 11-13 | o4.5+110 | u4.5-140 |