Orioles vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2023
Orioles at Braves
11:15 pm • FOXStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|  |  | 3.86 | 20-5 | |
|  |  | 2.83 | 12-7 | 
Orioles at Braves Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
| MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|  Orioles0-0 | +1.5+107 | o8.5-102 | +212 | |
|  Braves 0-0 | -1.5-130 | u8.5-120 | -265 | |

Truist ParkAtlanta
Orioles vs. Braves Expert Picks

Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 66-88-2 (-15.1u)
BAL +210
$1.00

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 79-105-5 (-0.1u)
BAL +220
0.25u
Small to +210

Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 183-169-1 (-7.3u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-125
1.2u
-115

Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL o4.5-120
1u

David Payne
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.0u)
Under 8.5-115
$1.00
Under 4.5 (F5)-120
$1.00

Anders
Last 30d: 9-17-0 (-11.9u)
Under 8.5-115
1.15u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 79-105-5 (-0.1u)
Under 8.5-115
0.58u
Bet to 8 (-107)
Under 4.5 (F5)-120
0.6u
Bet to -125

Duck
Last 30d: 66-64-4 (-3.7u)
BAL +200
1.1u

Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 31-48-0 (-12.0u)
Under 8.5-115
$60.00
Two excellent starters (obviously Strider >>>) and solid bullpens 
Orioles vs. Braves Previews & Analysis
Orioles vs. Braves Notes
Keys to the Game
The Braves are 6-3 (.667) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
The Braves are just 7-8 (.467) at home this season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Orioles are 4-3 (.571) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Matchup Contrasts
Adam Frazier had an OPS of just .619  last season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Max Fried allowed an OPS of just .581 (733 PAs)  last season -- 14th best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Kyle Bradish has not struck out any hitters in 16 PA's in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- second Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 56% (15 SO in 27 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 41% (57 SO in 139 PAs) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Orioles vs. Braves Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Braves are 40-40 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Braves' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Braves vs. Orioles Injury Updates

Braves Injuries
- Joe JimenezRPJimenez is out with knee Out 
- Austin Riley3BRiley is out with abdominal Out 
- Austin CoxRPCox is out with knee Out 
- Alek ManoahSPManoah is out with elbow Out 
- AJ Smith-ShawverSPSmith-Shawver is out for season with elbow Out for Season 

Orioles Injuries
- Grayson RodriguezSPRodriguez is out with elbow Out 
Orioles vs. Braves Box Score
 Orioles Player Stats
Orioles Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | 86 | 5 | 4 | 3 | |
|  | 16 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
|  | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
|  | 14 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 
|  | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 
|  | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
 Braves Player Stats
Braves Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | 95 | 5 | 10 | 2 | |
|  | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
|  | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
|  | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
|  | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
|  | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
|  | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 
|  | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 
|  | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 
|  | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
Orioles vs. Braves Odds Comparison
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Orioles at Braves Team Totals
| MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
|  Orioles0-0 | N/A | N/A | 
|  Braves 0-0 | N/A | N/A | 



