Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2023
Braves at Marlins
8:10 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|  |  | 3.63 | 10-9 | |
|  |  | 7.60 | 2-2 | 
Braves at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
| MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|  Braves0-0 | -1.5+152 | o8.5-120 | -105 | |
|  Marlins 0-0 | +1.5-185 | u8.5-102 | -115 | |

loanDepot parkMiami
Braves vs. Marlins Expert Picks

Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 88-103-0 (-6.8u)
MIA -112
1u

Anders
Last 30d: 9-17-0 (-11.9u)
MIA -110 (F5)
2.2u

Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA -110
1.1u

Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 54-60-0 (-0.6u)
MIA -107
0.4u

Derek Farnsworth
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-2.6u)
MIA -110
1.1u

David Payne
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.0u)
MIA -112 (F5)
$1.00

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 79-105-5 (-0.1u)
MIA -112 (F5)
0.56u
Bet to -115

Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 183-169-1 (-7.3u)
MIA -120 (F5)
1.2u
Under 4.5 (F5)-113
1.2u
-102

Duck
Last 30d: 66-64-4 (-3.7u)
MIA +135
1.1u

Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 84-69-1 (+11.4u)
ATL -140
0.5u
Fried allowed a single earned run in 11 IP v Fish in 2022. Allowed single earned run in 20 IP through 2023
Braves vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Braves vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Braves are 88-10 (.898) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Marlins are just 66-10 (.868) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Braves are 120-65 (.649) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Matchup Contrasts
Ronald Acuna is slugging 1.000 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. 99% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs are 95+ MPH  this season -- third highest among  qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.
Ronald Acuna is batting .591 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 99% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs are 95+ MPH  this season -- third highest among  qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .576 (33 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 -- first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (9/73) against Jesus Luzardo this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 98th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Braves vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 51-30 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Marlins' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Braves vs. Marlins Injury Updates

Braves Injuries
- Joe JimenezRPJimenez is out with knee Out 
- Austin Riley3BRiley is out with abdominal Out 
- Austin CoxRPCox is out with knee Out 
- Alek ManoahSPManoah is out with elbow Out 
- AJ Smith-ShawverSPSmith-Shawver is out for season with elbow Out for Season 

Marlins Injuries
- Braxton GarrettSPGarrett is out for season with elbow Out for Season 
- Kyle StowersLFStowers is out with oblique Out 
- Max MeyerSPMeyer is out for season with hip Out for Season 
Braves vs. Marlins Box Score
 Braves Player Stats
Braves Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | 85 | 6 | 1 | 3 | |
|  | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
|  | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
|  | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 
|  | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 
|  | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
|  | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
|  | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 
|  | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
|  | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
 Marlins Player Stats
Marlins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | 106 | 5.2 | 5 | 3 | |
|  | 31 | 1.1 | 4 | 0 | |
|  | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
|  | 20 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | |
|  | 3 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
|  | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 
|  | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 
Braves vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Braves at Marlins Team Totals
| MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
|  Braves0-0 | N/A | N/A | 
|  Marlins 0-0 | N/A | N/A | 




