Cubs vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2023

Cubs at Marlins

4:05 pm • Peacock

Chicago Cubs

0-0

3 - 4

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Hoeing			5.48	2-3
J.Steele			3.06	16-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	-1.5-105	o8.5-105	-180
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-115	u8.5-115	+150

Sunday 4:05 p.m.

April 30, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

CHC -150

4.5u

CHC -130

$100.00

Live play

CHC -1.5-105

3.15u

J.Steele o5.5 Ks-111

1.11u

Outside of Arraez and Segura, it’s a pretty K friendly lineup for Steele. MIA ranks 1st in CSW% this season, and 8th in K% at 25% (24% vs lefties). Steele only over this line in 2/5, but should be primed for a nice day today. His slider has been lights out, and he should be able to utilize it in plenty of 2 strike counts.

MIA +1.5-125

CHC -152

$175.00

Over 8-110

1.1u

Both lineups destroy left hand pitching. Marlins pen above 5 in FIP

Cubs vs. Marlins: Fade Miami's Bats
Tony Sartori•
Apr 30, 2023 UTC

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The Cubs are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

Jean Segura is slugging just .233 this season -- fifth worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Justin Steele has allowed a SLG of just .208 vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for fourth best among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Jazz Chisholm has a groundball rate of 56% this season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% against Justin Steele this season -- ninth highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (61/114) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (20/29) against Justin Steele in two-strike counts this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 29th	CHC	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 9	MIA -125
Apr 28th	CHC	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +104
Apr 27th	@ATL	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIA +145
Apr 26th	@ATL	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8	ATL +122
Apr 25th	@ATL	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 9	ATL +198

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	81	6	3	2
RM. Fulmer, P	11	1	0	0
RK.Thompson, P	9	0.1	0	1
RA.Alzolay, P	10	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	2-5	0	0	1
3I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4S.Suzuki, RF	1-4	1	0	0
5C.Bellinger, CF	1-3	1	1	2
6P.Wisdom, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7E. Hosmer, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
7T. Mancini, PH	1-1	0	0	0
7T. Mancini, 1B	1-1	0	0	0
8E.Rios, DH	1-1	1	0	0
8N.Velazquez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8N.Velazquez, DH	0-2	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Hoeing, P	87	5	4	2
LA.Nardi, P	11	1	0	1
RM.Barnes, P	11	1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	11	1	0	0
LA.Puk, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Berti, SS	2-3	2	0
1J.Berti, 2B	2-3	2	0
2G.Cooper, 1B	1-2	0	0
2J.Sanchez, RF	1-2	0	0
3L.Arraez, 2B	1-3	0	2
3L.Arraez, 1B	1-3	0	2
4J.Soler, DH	0-3	0	0
5J. Segura, 3B	0-4	0	0
6J.Chisholm, CF	0-3	0	0
7N.Fortes, C	1-2	1	0
8B.De La Cruz, LF	0-3	0	0
9G.Hampson, RF	2-3	1	1
9G.Hampson, SS	2-3	1	1