Orioles vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2026

Orioles at Nationals

8:05 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

38-43

3 - 13

Washington Nationals

41-39

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Cavalli			4.07	4-4
C.Bassitt			5.27	4-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 38-43	-1.5	-1.5+145	o10-110	-111
Nationals 41-39	u9.5	+1.5-173	u10-110	-109

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 16, 2026

Nationals ParkWashington

Over 14.5 (Live)-130

C.Bassitt o2.5 Earned Runs-127

Bassitt has struggled vs LHBs historically & is allowing a .349 AVG against them this season. The Nats have 8 Lefties in the lineup today & have been great vs RHP lately at home. They’ve scored 3+ Runs in 8/L12 vs Starting RHP at Home

C.Cavalli o4.5 Ks-114

1.14u

#EV 9.13%

WSH -120 (F5)

0.83u

While I don’t really trust Cavalli for WSH, this is more of a fade against Bassitt for BAL. His ERA sits at 5.21 and his xERA isn’t that much better at 5.01. While he doesn’t get hit hard, he still gives up a lot of hits and is even worse on the road. He has a road ERA of 8.27 compared to a 2.91 home ERA. He also struggles against lefties which WSH has a good amount of lefties in their lineup so could be a struggle for Bassitt today

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+410

0.25u

S.Basallo o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

D.Lile o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-150

$1.00

BAL -110

C.Mead o0.5 HR+700

0.1u

BAL o4.5-130

1.3u

Over 9.5-117

0.5u

Bet to 10 (-110)

WSH -120 (F5)

0.5u

(FD) See Saturday's slate breakdown. (Good to around -130).

BAL -110

0.55u

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 29-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 27 of Nationals' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	47-33	18-22	29-11	5-6	42-27
Orioles	40-41	22-19	18-22	17-21	23-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	48-29-3	27-11-2	21-18-1	9-2	39-27-3
Orioles	45-33-3	22-17-2	23-16-1	19-17-2	26-16-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	41-39	17-23	24-16	6-5	35-34
Orioles	38-43	22-19	16-24	19-19	19-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	BAL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	WSH +119
May 14th	@CIN	L 1-15	+1.5 L	O 7.5	CIN +134
May 13th	@CIN	W 8-7	+1.5 W	O 9.5	WSH +151
May 12th	@CIN	W 10-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	WSH +123
May 10th	@MIA	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA +115

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Dylan Beavers
RF
Dylan Beavers scratched Tuesday.
Out

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
C.J. Abrams
SS
CJ Abrams has been scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Bassitt, P	82	5	4	4
LD.Enns, P	18	1	0	0
LK.Akin, P	22	0.1	0	6
RA.Kittredge, P	12	0.2	0	1
LJ.Walker, P	30	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
1M.Handley, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2T.Ward, LF	2-5	0	0	1
3A.Rutschman, C	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
5S.Basallo, DH	1-4	1	1	1
6T.O'Neill, RF	1-4	1	1	1
7L.Taveras, CF	2-4	1	0	0
8C.Mayo, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Jackson, 2B	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Cavalli, P	94	6.1	8	3
LP.Poulin, P	19	0.2	0	0
RO.Ribalta, P	14	1	2	0
RP.Schultz, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Wood, RF	1-3	2	0	0
2L.Garcia, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
2C.Mead, PH	0-1	1	0	0
2C.Mead, 1B	0-1	1	0	0
3J.Tena, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
3B.House, PH	2-2	2	1	3
3B.House, 3B	2-2	2	1	3
4C.Abrams, SS	3-5	2	0	1
5D.Lile, LF	1-5	1	0	1
6N.Nunez, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
7K.Ruiz, C	3-5	2	1	5
8J.Vivas, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Wiemer, PH	0-2	1	0	0
8J.Wiemer, DH	0-2	1	0	0
9J.Young, CF	2-4	1	1	3