Padres vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 24, 2024

Padres at Nationals

10:45 pm • MASN2

San Diego Padres

5-14

12 - 3

Washington Nationals

9-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Parker			4.29	7-10
M.Waldron			4.91	7-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 5-14	-1.5+150	o8.5-112	-110
Nationals 9-9	+1.5-181	u8.5-108	-110

Wednesday 10:45 p.m.

July 24, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

Over 8.5-105

0.5u

Over 8.5-110

0.91u

M.Waldron o4.5 Ks+126

Initial trepidation of playing this straight line was the fact the Nats have seen Waldron once. But, there are 4 guys in the lineup today who haven’t seen him, three of which project as high K% guys (Wood, Yepez and Adams). In general, he’s over this line in 8/L13 with a 2.63 ERA over that span. To me, this is worth it down to +105.

SD -105

0.25u

Small to -108

SD -105 (F5)

0.25u

Small to -114

M.Parker o3.5 Ks+104

0.78u

WSH +105

BP4

Over 8.5-117

0.5u

to 9 (-107)

Under 8.5+100

Featured Insight
The Padres are batting .275 with RISP this season -- tied for fourth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .282 (110-for-390) against Nationals RPs with RISP this season -- tied for third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals have struck out just 19% over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB. Padres RPs have a strikeout rate of just 19% over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 23rd	SD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 9.5	SD -118
Jul 21st	CIN	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH -113
Jul 20th	CIN	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8	WSH -102
Jul 19th	CIN	W 8-5	+1.5 W	O 9.5	WSH +114
Jul 14th	@MIL	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 9	MIL +128

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Waldron, P	90	6	4	3
LY.Matsui, P	11	1	1	0
RL.Gillaspie, P	5	1	0	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	2-4	1	0	2
1D.Solano, PH	1-2	0	0	0
1D.Solano, DH	1-2	0	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	2-5	2	1	2
2D.Peralta, LF	0-1	0	0	0
3X.Bogaerts, 2B	4-4	2	0	0
3T.Wade, PR	0-1	0	0	0
3T.Wade, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	2-5	0	0	1
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-6	0	0	2
6H.Kim, SS	0-3	3	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	4-5	3	0	1
8K.Higashioka, C	3-5	1	1	3
9B.Johnson, RF	1-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Parker, P	77	3	5	6
RJ.Weems, P	30	1	0	5
RJ.Barnes, P	34	2	2	1
RT.Rainey, P	25	1	0	0
RD.Floro, P	15	1	0	0
RI.Vargas, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-3	0	0	0
1N.Nunez, SS	1-1	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	1-3	1	0	0
3J.Winker, DH	1-3	1	0	1
4J.Yepez, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
5J.Wood, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6L.Garcia, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
7R.Adams, C	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Lipscomb, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-3	0	0	0