Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - August 10, 2024

Phillies at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • ARID

Philadelphia Phillies

20-23

2 - 3

Arizona Diamondbacks

20-22

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Nelson			4.24	10-6
Z.Wheeler			2.57	16-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 20-23	-1.5	-1.5+124	o8.5-105	-135
Diamondbacks 20-22	u8.5	+1.5-149	u8.5-114	+114

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

August 10, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

B.Harper o0.5 HR+360

0.9u

PHI +118 (Live)

Over 8.5-105

ARI +1-115

1.74u

Z.Wheeler o5.5 Ks-130

PHI -130

Z.Wheeler u18.5 Outs-200

0.5u

PHI -0.5 (F5)-105

1.05u

PHI -122

$1.22

First off history...He has faced them 12x in his career and has had 6+ K's in 9 of those, of those 9 he has had 7+ in 8 and 8+ in 4. He has had success against the team. Obviously different players, but still. He has also gone atleast 6 innings in every start in his career against them. If that continues today we need to average 1 K per inning. His outs line is set to 18.5 so the books are expecting 6 full innings. In general he is over this in 5 straight and 6 of his last 7. Away he is over in 3 straight. Pitching in AZ he is over in 5 straight going back to 2017. He faced them once already this year and had 8 on 7 innings.

PHI -126

R.Nelson u4.5 Ks-130

1.3u

ARI +140

0.7u

Bet to +123

ARI +142

1.42u

BP4

ARI +140

2.8u

Wheeler is certainly the better pitcher, but Nelson 19.3 K-BB% L6 starts - ARI 113/109/142 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, PHI 103/103/117 - ARI better def- ARI pen estimators more than a run better L30 days

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 12-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Diamondbacks' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	25-17	13-8	12-9	8-6	16-11
Phillies	11-32	7-17	4-15	10-22	1-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	22-18-2	9-11-1	13-7-1	6-7-1	15-11-1
Phillies	22-19-2	14-9-1	8-10-1	19-12-1	3-7-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	20-22	12-9	8-13	8-6	11-16
Phillies	20-23	12-12	8-11	18-14	2-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 9th	PHI	L 4-6	-1.5 L	U 10.5	PHI -130
Aug 7th	@CLE	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI -111
Aug 7th	@CLE	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ARI -105
Aug 5th	@CLE	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ARI -118
Aug 4th	@PIT	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 7.5	ARI +140

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Max Lazar
RP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out
Andrew Painter
SP
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable
Steward Berroa
RF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P	100	6	8	2
LT.Banks, P	9	1	0	0
LM.Strahm, P	10	1	0	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	1	0	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4A.Bohm, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
5B.Marsh, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0	0
7N.Castellanos, RF	0-2	1	0	0
8B.Stott, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Sosa, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8E.Sosa, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	2-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	97	7.1	9	2
LA.Puk, P	15	0.2	2	0
RJ.Martinez, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2J.McCarthy, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Pederson, DH	1-2	1	1	1
3K.Marte, PH	1-1	0	0	0
3K.Marte, DH	1-1	0	0	0
4J.Bell, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Del Castillo, C	3-4	1	1	2
6E.Suarez, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7A.Thomas, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8G.Perdomo, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9K.Newman, 2B	0-3	0	0	0