Phillies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 30, 2023

Phillies at Pirates

5:35 pm • MLB Network

Philadelphia Phillies

0-0

4 - 6

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Hill			4.76	7-10
C.Sanchez			3.44	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 0-0	-1.5+106	o9-105	-148
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-130	u9-115	+124

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

July 30, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PHI -145

0.5u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/phillies-vs-pirates-mlb-odds-picks-predictions-july-30-2023

C.Sanchez o3.5 Ks-150

PIT +122

1.22u

R.Hill o4.5 Ks-115

$25.22

C.Sanchez o4.5 Ks+130

Sanchez isn’t really a K pitcher, but he’s been so effective (2.98 ERA) that he’s getting enough volume to hit this line - over in 5/8 starts. He gets PIT in their worse split - 73 wRC+ over their last 30 days vs lefties is 29th, and a 26.2% K% is 5th highest. Pirates have swung through some change ups lately - I like that pitch to play today. Would play this to +100.

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The Phillies are just 24-41 (.369) after a road loss since last season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Phillies are 8-104 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .047.

Jack Suwinski has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- third highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has a strikeout rate of 34% this season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 30% of PA's since last season -- third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Tanner Scott has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has walked 6 of 166 batters (4%) this season -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- 98th Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has allowed an OBP of just .115 (26 PA's) with two-strikes -- best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .239 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 29th	PHI	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 9	PIT +149
Jul 28th	PHI	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PHI +138
Jul 26th	@SD	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT +159
Jul 26th	@SD	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	SD +230
Jul 25th	@SD	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +220

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	73	5	3	0
RS.Dominguez, P	25	0.1	0	2
RJ.Hoffman, P	10	0.2	1	0
LG.Soto, P	11	1	2	0
RY.Marte, P	18	1	1	1
RC.Kimbrel, P	15	1	1	0
LA. Vasquez, P	3	0	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	0-3	1	0	0
1B.Marsh, PR	0-0	0	0	0
1B.Marsh, LF	0-0	0	0	0
2N.Castellanos, RF	1-5	0	0	0
3B.Harper, DH	1-2	1	0	1
4A.Bohm, 1B	3-5	1	1	3
5T.Turner, SS	1-5	0	0	0
6E.Sosa, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
7J. Harrison, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	0-3	1	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Hill, P	78	5	7	2
RD.Moreta, P	8	1	1	0
LJ.Hernandez, P	11	0.1	0	2
RC.Mlodzinski, P	33	1.2	3	0
RD.Bednar, P	16	1	2	0
LA.Perdomo, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Joe, 1B	2-5	2	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	1	1	2
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4H.Davis, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Triolo, 3B	2-5	2	0	0
6J.Palacios, CF	3-5	1	1	2
7L.Peguero, SS	0-2	0	0	0
7J. Choi, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Williams, SS	0-0	0	0	0
8N.Gonzales, 2B	0-2	0	0	1
9A.Hedges, C	0-1	0	0	0
9E.Rodriguez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9E.Rodriguez, C	0-2	0	0	0