Pirates vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2023

Pirates at Rays

5:10 pm • BSSUN

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

2 - 3

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Eflin			3.50	16-8
V.Velasquez			3.86	4-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-130	o8-119	+157
Rays 0-0	-1.5+110	u8-103	-192

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

May 04, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

TB -1.5+105

Over 8-119

PIT +0.5 (F5)+102

1.2u

+110

Under 8.5-110

PIT +172

0.5u

PIT +155

1.1u

Over 7.5-115

1.1u

Project 8.9; low strikeout rate for these lineups v right hand pitching. Each lineup >> 108 wRC+ v righties.

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
May 4, 2023 UTC

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The Rays are 3-6 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Rays are 3-2 (.600) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Pirates are just 39-60 (.394) on the road since last season -- 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Pirates are 12-9 (.571) when underdogs this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Yandy Diaz is batting .350 on breaking pitches this season -- seventh best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Vince Velasquez has thrown his slider 42% of the time this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

Wander Franco is slugging just .182 on breaking pitches from RHP this season -- eighth worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Vince Velasquez has thrown his slider 42% of the time this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of just 22% (9/41) against Vince Velasquez vs left-handed batters this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (59/144) against Zach Eflin this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 29% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	73-89	35-46	38-43	29-46	43-41
Pirates	90-72	48-33	42-39	19-26	69-45

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	71-81-10	36-41-4	35-40-6	32-37-6	38-42-4
Pirates	61-92-9	33-43-5	28-49-4	17-26-2	42-65-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	77-85	41-40	36-45	42-33	34-50
Pirates	71-91	44-37	27-54	22-23	48-66

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	PIT	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 7	TB -210
May 2nd	PIT	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	TB -164
Apr 30th	@CWS	L 9-12	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CWS -193
Apr 29th	@CWS	W 12-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	TB -142
Apr 28th	@CWS	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TB -164

Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Taylor Walls
SS
Walls is out with groin
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RV.Velasquez, P	54	3	2	1
LJ.Hernandez, P	21	1	1	1
RD. Underwood, P	32	2	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	9	1	3	0
RR.Stephenson, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Marcano, SS	0-3	1	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	1	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	2-4	0	2
4M.Andujar, PR	0-0	0	0
5J.Suwinski, CF	0-3	0	0
6C.Joe, RF	0-4	0	0
7K.Hayes, 3B	1-3	0	0
8J.Bae, 2B	0-3	0	0
9J.Delay, C	0-2	0	0
9R.Castro, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Eflin, P	80	7	10
RR.Thompson, P	8	1	0
RJ.Adam, P	25	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
2W. Franco, SS	0-3	0	0	0
3R.Arozarena, LF	1-3	1	1	1
4J.Lowe, DH	0-2	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
6T.Walls, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
7L.Raley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Bethancourt, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Margot, CF	0-2	0	0	0