Pirates vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2024

Pirates at Reds

5:10 pm • BSOH

Pittsburgh Pirates

8-15

6 - 1

Cincinnati Reds

11-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Ashcraft			5.24	5-5
L.Ortiz			3.32	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 8-15	-1.5	+1.5-166	o9.5-108	+114
Reds 11-12	u9.5	-1.5+140	u9.5-112	-135

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

June 26, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

PIT +126

0.63u

Superbook. Bet to +115

G.Ashcraft u5.5 Ks-146

Ashcraft under in 10/12 MLB starts, and 1/2 MILB starts. Apparently worked on a changeup in the minors, but not too worried about that coming into play in his first start back in the majors. Gets a pirates lineup that is somewhat K prone, but even at 24-25%, this line is a bit too high for a well below avg K pitcher.

PIT +122

$61.00

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have allowed just 3.2 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB (6 games). The Pirates have scored just 2.3 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (6 games).

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The Pirates are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 41% this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (11/65) against Luis Ortiz on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 7th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% -- eighth Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (110/200) this season -- 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% -- ninth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 6-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Reds' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	13-10	7-5	6-5	4-3	9-6
Pirates	8-15	6-7	2-8	4-7	4-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	12-10-1	5-6-1	7-4	2-4-1	9-6
Pirates	10-12-1	8-5	2-7-1	5-6	5-6-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	11-12	6-6	5-6	4-3	7-8
Pirates	8-15	6-7	2-8	5-6	3-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 25th	PIT	L 5-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -130
Jun 24th	PIT	W 11-5	-1.5 W	O 10	CIN -135
Jun 23rd	BOS	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS -162
Jun 22nd	BOS	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	BOS -101
Jun 21st	BOS	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN -105

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Jared Jones
P
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
IF
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Tyler Stephenson
C
Stephenson is out with oblique
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Ortiz, P	85	6	7	1
RK.Nicolas, P	28	2	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-5	1	1	2
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-5	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
7C.Joe, RF	2-3	1	0	0
8J.Suwinski, CF	1-4	0	0	1
9J.Delay, C	2-3	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	89	5.1	3	6
LJ.Wilson, P	18	1.2	2	0
RL.Sims, P	11	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	2-4	0	1
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0
3S.Steer, 1B	0-4	0	0
4T.Stephenson, C	0-3	0	0
5N.Martini, RF	1-3	0	0
6S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0
7S.Fairchild, CF	1-3	1	0
8L.Soto, DH	0-3	0	0
9L.Jordan, LF	0-3	0	0