Pirates vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2024

Pirates at Yankees

11:05 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

8-14

4 - 2

New York Yankees

13-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rodon			3.96	16-9
J.Jones			4.14	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 8-14	+1.5	+1.5-149	o7.5-115	+140
Yankees 13-8	u8.5	-1.5+124	u7.5-105	-166

Friday 11:05 p.m.

September 27, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

A.Judge o1.5 Total Bases+110

PIT +145 (F5)

0.25u

Small to +140

Under 7.5-110

NYY -1.5+143

0.5u

15% boost

NYY -164

A.Judge o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-135

PIT +151

1.51u

PIT +155

0.78u

Bet to +150

PIT +160

1.6u

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Featured Insight
Yankees RPs have a strikeout rate of 31% over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Pirates have struck out 29% over the last two weeks -- tied for third highest in MLB.

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The Yankees are 139-14 (.908) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

Gleyber Torres is slugging just .261 on breaking pitches this season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Jared Jones has thrown a breaking pitch 44% of the time this season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Aaron Judge is slugging .600 on breaking pitches this season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Jared Jones has thrown a breaking pitch 44% of the time this season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has an ERA of 6.48 (50.0 IP) against division opponents this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.59 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (74/202) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts this season -- 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 3-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Yankees' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	11-10	8-4	3-6	10-7	1-3
Pirates	7-15	5-7	2-8	3-7	4-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	11-8-2	7-5	4-3-2	9-7-1	2-1-1
Pirates	9-12-1	7-5	2-7-1	4-6	5-6-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	13-8	8-4	5-4	12-5	1-3
Pirates	8-14	6-6	2-8	5-5	3-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 26th	BAL	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 8	NYY -170
Sep 25th	BAL	L 7-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -130
Sep 24th	BAL	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8	BAL -170
Sep 22nd	@ATH	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 9	NYY -180
Sep 22nd	@ATH	W 10-0	-1.5 W	O 8	NYY -185

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Jared Jones
P
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
IF
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Gerrit Cole
P
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
DJ LeMahieu
IF
LeMahieu is out with calf
Out
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Luis Gil
P
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Jones, P	85	4.1	7	2
LJ.Wentz, P	21	1	0	0
RC.Holderman, P	5	0.2	0	0
RC.Mlodzinski, P	19	1	2	0
RD.Santana, P	17	1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	8	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Gonzales, SS	2-4	1	1	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-3	2	2	3
3J.Bart, C	1-4	0	0	0
4A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5B.De La Cruz, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Joe, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
7O.Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7O.Cruz, CF	0-1	0	0	0
8N.Yorke, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9B.Cook, CF	1-3	1	0	0
9B.Cook, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Triolo, 1B	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Rodon, P	95	5.1	5	2
RI.Hamilton, P	8	0.2	1	0
RC.Holmes, P	8	1	0	0
RT.Kahnle, P	19	0.2	2	2
RS.Effross, P	21	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	1-4	0	0
2J.Soto, DH	1-3	0	0
3J.Chisholm, 3B	2-4	0	2
4J.Dominguez, LF	0-2	0	0
5A.Verdugo, RF	0-4	0	0
6A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0
7T.Grisham, CF	0-4	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	1-4	1	0
9O.Cabrera, 1B	1-4	1	0