Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 30, 2024

Red Sox at Tigers

10:40 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

10-7

7 - 5

Detroit Tigers

9-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Mize			4.49	2-6
T.Houck			3.12	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 10-7	-1.5+135	o8.5-112	-120
Tigers 9-9	+1.5-163	u8.5-108	-101

Friday 10:40 p.m.

August 30, 2024

Comerica ParkDetroit

Under 9-117

0.5u

Flat to-127 or 8 (-105)

R.Devers o2.5 RBI+1540

0.25u

10% boost

R.Devers o1.5 RBI+475

0.5u

R.Devers o0.5 RBI+129

Under 9-118

. under when home team shutout Overall: 437-312-42,58% (ROI:12%) Season:26-22-2,54% (ROI:5%)

T.Houck o1.5 BB-123

Houck is over this line in 8/L9, with 25 BB in 51 IP. The Tigers don’t have a high walk rate, but 6/L10 RHP are still over this line. And the matchup plays into Houck’s worse splits - an away game, and should see 6 lefties.

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-104

0.52u

Unofficial please don't tail me lol

DET +116

0.51u

Bet to +114

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Featured Insight
Tigers hitters have an OPS of .833 over the last week -- fourth best in MLB. Red Sox RPs have allowed an OPS of .865 (110 PAs) over the last week -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Tigers are 11-46 (.193) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

Riley Greene has a miss rate of only 9% on inside fastballs this season -- 11th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Tanner Houck has located his fastball inside 46% of the time this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .600 (9 GB hits out of 15 GBs) against Beau Brieske with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .254 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Tigers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 29th	LAA	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 9	LAA -180
Aug 29th	LAA	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	DET -162
Aug 27th	LAA	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9.5	DET -155
Aug 27th	@CWS	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 9	DET -135
Aug 25th	@CWS	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 9	DET -161

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Alex Cobb
P
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Jose Urquidy
P
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	95	6	6	0
LB.Bernardino, P	23	1.1	3	3
RJ.Slaten, P	5	0.2	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	18	1	2	1
RC.Martin, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	3-5	2	1	1
2W.Abreu, RF	2-4	0	0	1
3T.Casas, 1B	0-5	0	0	1
4R.Devers, DH	0-5	0	0	0
5T.O'Neill, LF	0-3	1	0	0
6C.Wong, C	2-4	1	1	2
7N.Sogard, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
8M.Yoshida, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Gasper, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-4	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Mize, P	85	6	4	4
RB.Hanifee, P	11	1	0	0
LS.Guenther, P	8	1	1	0
RS.Miller, P	20	1.1	2	1
LT.Holton, P	20	0.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Meadows, CF	1-3	0	0	0
1A.Ibanez, PH	0-1	1	0	0
1A.Ibanez, 2B	0-1	1	0	0
1A.Ibanez, LF	0-1	1	0	0
2R.Greene, LF	0-3	1	0	0
2R.Greene, CF	0-3	1	0	0
3M.Vierling, RF	2-5	1	0	0
3M.Vierling, CF	2-5	1	0	0
3M.Vierling, RF	2-5	1	0	0
4K.Carpenter, DH	1-4	1	1	4
5J.Jung, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
6S.Torkelson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, RF	2-4	1	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, SS	2-4	1	0	0
8T.Sweeney, SS	0-2	0	0	0
8R.Kreidler, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8R.Kreidler, SS	0-1	0	0	0
8C.Keith, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8C.Keith, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	1-3	0	0	1