Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - July 5, 2024

Red Sox at Yankees

11:05 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

12-11

5 - 3

New York Yankees

14-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Cortes			3.77	9-10
T.Houck			3.12	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 12-11	+1.5-175	o8-115	+121
Yankees 14-8	-1.5+145	u8-105	-143

Friday 11:05 p.m.

July 05, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

BOS +132 (Live)

1.32u

Over 8-110

1.1u

BOS +120

3.6u

N.Cortes o4.5 Hits Allowed-135

N.Cortes u17.5 Outs+145

BOS +120

1.8u

Over 8-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (-105)

Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have a hard-hit rate of 44% over the last two weeks -- tied for second best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 45% against the Yankees RPs over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Yankees have scored 6.3 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- tied for highest in MLB (6 games). The Red Sox have allowed 7.2 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (5 games).

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The Yankees are 23-4 (.852) when they've had 10 or more hits this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .755.

The Yankees are 3-28 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

Juan Soto has an OPS of .917 since the 2022 season -- sixth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Josh Winckowski has allowed an OPS of .769 (840 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 13th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (83/252) against Nestor Cortes this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (61/201) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 4-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Yankees' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	12-10	8-4	4-6	11-7	1-3
Red Sox	11-12	4-6	7-6	7-9	4-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	11-9-2	7-5	4-4-2	9-8-1	2-1-1
Red Sox	9-13-1	4-5-1	5-8	5-10-1	4-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	14-8	8-4	6-4	13-5	1-3
Red Sox	12-11	6-4	6-7	9-7	3-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	CIN	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN -182
Jul 3rd	CIN	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -185
Jul 2nd	CIN	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CIN -218
Jun 30th	@TOR	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8	NYY -114
Jun 29th	@TOR	L 3-9	-1.5 L	O 8	TOR -125

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with shoulder
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Gerrit Cole
P
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
DJ LeMahieu
IF
LeMahieu is out with calf
Out
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Luis Gil
P
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	68	3.1	1	1
LB.Horn, P	30	2.2	3	0
LC.Booser, P	23	2	1	0
RJ.Slaten, P	6	1	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, RF	0-3	0	0	0
2W.Abreu, PH	0-2	0	0	0
2W.Abreu, RF	0-2	0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5C.Wong, C	0-5	0	0	0
6R.Gonzalez, 1B	2-3	1	1	1
6D.Smith, PH	1-1	1	0	0
6D.Smith, 1B	1-1	1	0	0
7M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	1	1	2
8E.Valdez, 2B	2-3	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, PR	0-1	1	0	0
8D.Hamilton, 2B	0-1	1	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-4	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P	97	6	8	1
RL.Weaver, P	25	2	3	0
RC.Holmes, P	30	1	0	2
RT.Kahnle, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Rice, 1B	1-4	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-4	1	0
3A.Judge, DH	0-4	1	0
4A.Verdugo, LF	0-5	0	0
5G.Torres, 2B	1-2	0	0
5O.Cabrera, PR	0-3	1	0
5O.Cabrera, 2B	0-3	1	0
6A.Wells, C	2-4	0	1
7A.Volpe, SS	1-3	0	1
8T.Grisham, CF	0-3	0	1
9D.LeMahieu, 3B	0-4	0	0