Reds vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 5, 2023

Reds at Nationals

11:05 pm • MASN2

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

9 - 2

Washington Nationals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Gray			3.91	8-13
G.Ashcraft			4.76	7-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	-1.5+140	o9.5-120	-112
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-170	u9.5-104	-105

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

July 05, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

Over 9.5-112

WSH +110

WSH -110

2.2u

WSH -104

1.04u

G.Ashcraft u17.5 Outs-120

This is one of our highest MLB edges on our FTN Model at FTNBets.com!

CIN o4.5-130

0.77u

Over 9.5-110

0.91u

Fading is the only way I have fun in MLB now

Under 9.5-105

1.05u

WSH +112

0.5u

WSH +110

0.4u

G.Ashcraft o3.5 Ks+102

Over 9.5-115

0.5u

Bet to -123 or 10 (-105)

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Jul 5, 2023 UTC

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The Nationals are just 27-33 (.450) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

Tyler Stephenson has an OPS of just .593 with RISP this season -- 13th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Josiah Gray has allowed an OPS of just .543 (111 PAs) with RISP this season -- 10th best among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

Dominic Smith has an OPS of just .666 this season -- 14th worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .495 (154 PAs) this season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Josiah Gray has walked 72 of 473 left-handed batters (15%) since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has allowed a .462 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for eighth worst)-- 13th Percentile and just .317 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for fourth best among qualified SPs)-- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	CIN	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 10	CIN -105
Jul 3rd	CIN	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 10.5	CIN +105
Jul 2nd	@PHI	W 5-4	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH +220
Jul 1st	@PHI	L 4-19	+1.5 L	O 8.5	PHI +177
Jun 30th	@PHI	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	WSH +160

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	98	6	2	1
RD.Law, P	20	1	0	1
LA.Young, P	9	1	0	0
RF.Cruz, P	22	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	2-5	0	0	1
2M.McLain, SS	1-6	0	0	1
3J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
4E.De La Cruz, 3B	3-6	2	1	1
5J.Fraley, RF	2-4	2	0	1
6J. Votto, 1B	3-5	2	1	1
7S.Steer, DH	1-5	1	0	0
8T.Stephenson, C	1-2	2	0	1
9W.Benson, LF	2-5	0	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	102	5	6	3
RA.Willingham, P	22	1	1	0
LJ.La Sorsa, P	51	2	2	4
RJ.Weems, P	27	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Thomas, RF	2-4	1	0
2L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	1	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	0	0
3M. Chavis, 3B	0-1	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	1-3	0	1
5D.Smith, 1B	0-3	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	1-4	0	0
7C. Dickerson, LF	2-3	0	0
7S.Garrett, PH	0-1	0	0
7S.Garrett, LF	0-1	0	0
8C.Abrams, SS	1-3	0	0
9A.Call, CF	1-4	0	0