Rockies vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - September 4, 2024

Rockies at Braves

11:20 pm • COLR

Colorado Rockies

15-15

2 - 5

Atlanta Braves

21-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Morton			4.19	8-10
B.Blalock			0.00	0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 15-15	+1.5+110	o8.5-121	+230
Braves 21-7	-1.5-130	u8.5+102	-285

Wednesday 11:20 p.m.

September 04, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

M.Harris o2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+120

1.2u

ATL o2.5 Team Total (F5)-135

0.74u

COL +240

0.25u

Small to +220

COL +235

Morton all estimator > 4 - ATL just 8 pt wRC+ edge v RHP - COL much better def & base running

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Sep 4, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a win as underdogs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

63% of Ezequiel Tovar fastball strikeouts are located away since last season -- second highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. 56% of Charlie Morton fastball strikeouts are located away since last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (196/511) when he's behind in the count this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 47% of the time (606/1,291) vs left-handed batters this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total CB; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27
Rockies	66-96	34-47	32-49	3-2	63-94

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4
Rockies	71-85-6	39-38-4	32-47-2	3-2	68-83-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35
Rockies	43-119	25-56	18-63	2-3	41-116

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 3rd	COL	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -372
Sep 1st	@PHI	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	PHI +110
Aug 31st	@PHI	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI +142
Aug 30th	@PHI	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 7.5	ATL +120
Aug 29th	@PHI	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PHI +140

Kris Bryant
DH
Bryant is out with back
Out

Mickey Moniak
RF
Moniak is questionable with finger
Questionable
Tyler Freeman
RF
Freeman is questionable with finger
Questionable

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with hip
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with finger
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with oblique
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Blalock, P	96	5	2	4
RJ.Bird, P	17	0.2	0	1
LL.Peralta, P	23	1	2	0
RS.Halvorsen, P	16	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Blackmon, DH	2-4	0	1
2E.Tovar, SS	0-4	0	0
3B.Doyle, CF	1-4	0	0
4R.McMahon, 3B	1-3	0	0
5B.Rodgers, 2B	0-4	0	0
6M.Toglia, 1B	0-3	0	0
7N.Jones, LF	0-3	1	0
8S.Hilliard, RF	1-2	1	1
9D.Romo, C	0-3	0	0
9J.Cave, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	100	5	8	2
LD.Lee, P	17	1	2	0
RP.Johnson, P	11	1	2	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	14	1	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	2-5	1	0	0
2J.Soler, RF	1-4	0	0	1
2E.White, PR	0-0	0	0	0
2E.White, RF	0-0	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	1	0	1
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-2	1	0	0
6J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	1	1	3
7O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0	0
8G.Urshela, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Williams, 2B	0-2	0	0	0