Royals vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2024

Royals at Yankees

11:05 pm • YES

Kansas City Royals

5-5

5 - 0

New York Yankees

7-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Stroman			4.31	10-9
S.Lugo			3.01	16-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 5-5	+1.5-173	o9+100	+120
Yankees 7-2	-1.5+144	u9-120	-143

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

September 10, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

A.Judge o1.5 Total Bases-105

$1.05

B.Witt o1.5 Total Bases-130

$1.30

M.Stroman u16.5 Outs-110

$1.00

NYY -1.5+135

Over 4.5 (F5)-122

1.53u

A.Judge o0.5 Runs Scored-120

1.2u

-1+ Run in 10/L12 Games vs KC -1+ Run in 10/L13 at Home (63% Home Hit Rate on the Season) -Yankees avg 3.38 Runs against starting RHP over their L13 Home Games -Lugo has been worse post ASB with 4.78 July ERA, 4.91 August ERA

Over 8.5-115

0.58u

S.Lugo u5.5 Ks-155

0.78u

NYY o2.5 Team Total (F5)+105

KC +126

1.26u

Lugo 4.03 SIERA/3.85 xERA, Stroman 4.83/4.91 - NYY 22 point wRC+ edge v RHP and 25 Hm/Rd, but KC better defense, bullpen estimators L30 days (barely) and base running.

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Featured Insight
Yankees had allowed a run just 29% of the time after an opposing score last season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Royals answered-back in just 28% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 5-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Yankees' 3 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	7-2	2-1	5-1	6-2	1-0
Royals	5-5	3-3	2-2	3-3	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	4-4-1	3-0	1-4-1	3-4-1	1-0
Royals	3-7	3-3	0-4	2-4	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	7-2	2-1	5-1	6-2	1-0
Royals	5-5	3-3	2-2	3-3	2-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 9th	KC	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYY -191
Sep 8th	@CHC	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -161
Sep 7th	@CHC	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	NYY -148
Sep 6th	@CHC	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 8	NYY -119
Sep 5th	@TEX	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TEX -112

Carlos Rodon
SP
Rodon is out with elbow
Out
Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out with elbow
Out
Clarke Schmidt
SP
Schmidt is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Volpe
SS
Volpe is out with shoulder
Out

Michael Massey
2B
Massey is out with calf
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Lugo, P	105	7	10
LK.Bubic, P	12	1	2
RJ.Schreiber, P	18	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Pham, RF	2-5	1	1	1
2B.Witt, SS	1-5	1	0	1
3S.Perez, 1B	2-3	0	0	2
4M.Melendez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5H.Renfroe, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5D.Blanco, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5D.Blanco, DH	0-0	1	0	0
6M.Massey, 2B	1-1	0	0	0
6M.Garcia, PH	0-0	0	0	1
6M.Garcia, 2B	0-0	0	0	1
7P.DeJong, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8F.Fermin, C	1-4	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	2-3	2	0	0
9R.Grossman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9G.Hampson, CF	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Stroman, P	89	5.1	4	3
RM.Leiter, P	24	1.2	2	1
LT.Mayza, P	33	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Wells, C	1-3	0	0	0
5G.Stanton, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Chisholm, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Dominguez, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Rizzo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Volpe, SS	0-3	0	0	0