Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - September 19, 2024

Twins at Guardians

5:10 pm • BSN

Minnesota Twins

7-14

2 - 3

Cleveland Guardians

11-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Cantillo			4.89	2-4
S.Woods Richardson			4.18	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 7-14	-1.5+164	o8-108	-115
Guardians 11-9	+1.5-190	u8-112	-105

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

September 19, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

B.Buxton o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

MIN -105

1.05u

Under 8-112

0.89u

#ProSystem . windy unders Overall: 724-482-46,60% (ROI:15%) Season:36-31-1,54% (ROI:4%) . wind in and hot unders Overall: 372-267-40,58% (ROI:12%) Season:24-32-1,43% (ROI:-17%)

Under 8-107

0.23u

Projection moved from 8.45 to 8.27 after lineups. Taking 1/2 off of the Over; would pass on the game otherwise

CLE -0.5 (F5)+110

M.Margot u1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

CLE -114 (F5)

1.14u

Over 8-105

0.5u

Update: Pass after lineups

MIN +104

MIN -105

0.5u

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Twins RPs this season -- fifth best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have allowed just 2.7 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB (6 games). The Twins have scored just 2.4 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (7 games).

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The Guardians are 39-10 (.796) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Myles Straw has an OPS of just .597 since last season -- eighth worst among hitters with at least 469 total PA's-- second Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .556 (401 PAs) since last season -- 10th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Andres Gimenez has an OPS of just .672 since last season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .556 (401 PAs) since last season -- 10th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .125 (5-for-40) against Joey Cantillo in his last two starts -- tied for 6th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .226 -- 94th Percentile.

Joey Cantillo has allowed an OPS of just .296 (41 PA's) in his last two starts -- 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .651 -- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 6-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	9-11	3-3	6-8	5-3	4-7
Twins	9-12	5-4	4-8	7-8	2-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	9-9-2	2-4	7-5-2	5-3	4-5-2
Twins	8-11-2	3-5-1	5-6-1	6-7-2	2-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	11-9	5-1	6-8	7-1	4-7
Twins	7-14	4-5	3-9	6-9	1-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 18th	MIN	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 7	CLE -135
Sep 17th	MIN	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	MIN -142
Sep 16th	MIN	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -104
Sep 15th	TB	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -125
Sep 14th	TB	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -142

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
P
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Royce Lewis
IF
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out
Pablo Lopez
P
Lopez is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	72	4.2	6	1
LC.Irvin, P	30	1.2	2	1
RC.Sands, P	17	0.2	0	0
RL.Varland, P	16	1	1	0
RG.Jax, P	15	1	2	0
LC.Thielbar, P	12	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Margot, LF	1-4	0	1
2C.Correa, DH	0-3	0	0
3B.Buxton, CF	0-5	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0
5R.Lewis, 3B	1-3	0	0
6R.Jeffers, C	0-4	0	0
7K.Farmer, 2B	1-4	1	0
8M.Wallner, RF	0-3	0	0
9W.Castro, SS	0-2	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Cantillo, P	86	4.1	6	1
RN.Sandlin, P	19	0.2	2	0
LT.Herrin, P	17	1.1	4	0
RA.Walters, P	9	0.2	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	10	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	14	1	0	0
RE.Morgan, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Martinez, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2K.Manzardo, DH	3-3	1	1	1
2D.Fry, PH	1-1	0	0	0
2D.Schneemann, PR	0-1	0	0	0
2D.Schneemann, DH	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
5L.Thomas, CF	1-4	0	0	0
5L.Thomas, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	3-5	0	0	1
7J.Noel, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Straw, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Straw, CF	0-0	0	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	1-2	0	0	1
9A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Naylor, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	0-1	0	0	0