Twins vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Twins at Orioles

5:05 pm • MASN

Minnesota Twins

9-15

2 - 4

Baltimore Orioles

9-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Suarez			3.70	9-7
P.Lopez			4.08	15-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 9-15	-1.5+167	o8.5-110	+102
Orioles 9-14	+1.5-181	u8.5-110	-121

Wednesday 5:05 p.m.

April 17, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Under 4.5 (F5)-118

0.47u

BAL +105

0.53u

Bet to -112

MIN -120

1.2u

Definitely not 5 units

Under 8-105

0.5u

Featured Insight
Twins have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 42% of their games since last season -- sixth lowest in MLB. The Orioles have scored in at least three different innings in just 46% of their games since last season -- ninth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters this season -- third highest in MLB. Twins right-handed hitters have struck out 25% against LHP this season -- sixth highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC

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The Twins are 19-56 (.253) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .144.

Gunnar Henderson is batting .289 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Pablo Lopez has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since last season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Edouard Julien has struck out in 35% of PA's this season -- tied for 14th highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 54% this season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 40% (88/223) against Pablo Lopez when he's behind in the count since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .211 (39-for-185) against Tyler Wells in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 4-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Orioles' 11 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	8-15	4-7	4-8	4-10	4-5
Twins	11-13	7-4	4-9	9-8	2-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	13-7-3	8-1-2	5-6-1	9-3-2	4-4-1
Twins	9-12-3	4-6-1	5-6-2	7-8-2	2-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	9-14	5-6	4-8	5-9	4-5
Twins	9-15	6-5	3-10	8-9	1-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	MIN	W 11-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -167
Apr 15th	MIN	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 9	BAL -133
Apr 14th	MIL	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 9	BAL -225
Apr 13th	MIL	L 5-11	-1.5 L	O 8	MIL -148
Apr 12th	MIL	L 1-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	MIL +106

Willi Castro
IF
Castro is out with oblique
Out
Royce Lewis
IF
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out
Pablo Lopez
P
Lopez is out with hamstring
Out

Albert Suarez
P
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
OF
O'Neill is day-to-day with neck
Day-to-Day
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lopez, P	87	6	7	1
LS.Okert, P	18	0.2	1	1
RB.Stewart, P	17	1.1	3	0
RG.Jax, P	10	0.1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	0-4	0	0
2R.Jeffers, C	0-3	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	0-4	0	0
4A.Kirilloff, RF	1-3	0	0
5J.Miranda, 1B	1-4	0	0
6T.Larnach, LF	0-2	0	0
6M.Margot, PH	0-1	1	0
6M.Margot, LF	0-1	1	0
7A.Martin, CF	1-4	1	1
8W.Castro, SS	1-4	0	0
9K.Farmer, 3B	1-3	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Suarez, P	75	5.2	4	0
LD.Coulombe, P	10	0.2	0	1
RJ.Webb, P	15	0.1	1	1
LK.Akin, P	3	0.1	1	0
RY.Cano, P	20	1	2	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	2-4	1	1	1
2A.Rutschman, C	0-4	0	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, RF	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Hays, PH	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Hays, LF	0-2	0	0	0
4A.Santander, DH	1-4	1	1	1
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	1-4	1	1	2
7C.Cowser, LF	1-3	0	0	0
7C.Cowser, RF	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Westburg, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Holliday, 2B	0-3	0	0	0