White Sox vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - July 3, 2024

White Sox at Guardians

10:40 pm • BSGL

Chicago White Sox

5-16

8 - 2

Cleveland Guardians

12-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Williams			4.86	3-10
E.Fedde			3.11	7-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
White Sox 5-16	+1.5-115	o8.5-103	+187
Guardians 12-9	-1.5-105	u8.5-117	-229

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

July 03, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Over 8.5+100

0.25u

Small to -117

CLE -1.5-102

Over 8.5+100

L.Robert o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

G.Williams u15.5 Outs-120

1.25u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-105

E.Fedde u5.5 Hits Allowed+120

0.72u

G.Williams u15.5 Outs+112

1.12u

Making his first MLB start this season after a long injury absence, I just don’t see the Guardians pushing him. He only finished 5 IP in one of his rehab starts, and his last start was 4 IP on 82 pitches. He was a 4+ pitch per PA pitcher last season, and even though the white sox lineup is atrocious, I love this spot at plus odds.

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 36% against the White Sox RPs this season -- fifth best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Guardians have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since last season -- third lowest in MLB. The White Sox have answered-back in just 28% of innings after an opponent scores since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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White Sox vs. Guardians: Incoming Pitcher's Duel?
John Feltman•
Jul 3, 2024 UTC

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The Guardians are 44-1 (.978) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

Martin Maldonado has an OPS of just .554 since the 2022 season -- third worst among hitters with at least 609 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .496 (719 PAs) since the 2022 season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 18% (21 SO in 117 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .400 (18-for-45) against Erick Fedde on low fastballs this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 -- third Percentile.

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (26/88) against Gavin Williams on breaking pitches in the 2023 season -- 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% -- 91st Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 6-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	9-12	3-3	6-9	5-3	4-8
White Sox	11-10	6-6	5-4	N/A	11-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	10-9-2	2-4	8-5-2	5-3	5-5-2
White Sox	9-10-2	5-5-2	4-5	N/A	9-10-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	12-9	5-1	7-8	7-1	5-7
White Sox	5-16	4-8	1-8	N/A	5-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 2nd	CWS	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 9	CLE -218
Jun 30th	@KC	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8.5	KC +110
Jun 29th	@KC	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -118
Jun 29th	@KC	L 3-10	-1.5 L	O 9.5	KC -108
Jun 28th	@KC	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9	KC -112

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
P
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Josh Rojas
IF
Rojas is out with toe
Out
Ky Bush
P
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Chase Meidroth
IF
Meidroth is day-to-day with thumb
Day-to-Day
Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Fedde, P	91	6	3	1
RJ.Anderson, P	8	0.2	1	1
LT.Banks, P	15	1.1	1	0
RS.Wilson, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Pham, RF	2-5	1	0	0
2A.Benintendi, LF	1-5	0	0	2
3L.Robert, CF	2-4	2	0	0
4G.Sheets, DH	0-2	0	0	0
4E.Jimenez, PH	0-0	0	0	0
4E.Jimenez, DH	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Vaughn, 1B	1-5	0	0	1
6L.Sosa, 3B	3-5	1	0	1
7N.Lopez, SS	1-4	1	0	1
8D.Mendick, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	2-5	2	1	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Williams, P	74	4	2	5
RE.Morgan, P	21	2	2	0
LS.Hentges, P	18	0.2	2	1
LT.Herrin, P	11	0.1	0	2
RP.Avila, P	36	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2D.Schneemann, CF	1-3	1	0	0
2G.Arias, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2G.Arias, CF	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Fry, DH	0-2	0	0	1
5J.Tena, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Noel, RF	1-4	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	2-3	1	1	1