Yankees vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - May 14, 2025

Yankees at Mariners

8:10 pm • MLB Network

New York Yankees

7-2

3 - 2

Seattle Mariners

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Castillo			3.54	11-8
W.Warren			4.43	9-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 7-2	-1.5	-1.5+150	o8-107	-115
Mariners 4-6	u8	+1.5-180	u8-109	-108

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

May 14, 2025

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

A.Judge o1.5 Total Bases (Live)-120

$1.00

SEA -108 (F5)

Over 8-105

1.1u

NYY -110

0.91u

T.Grisham o0.5 HR+550

0.5u

NYY +195 (1st Inn)

0.5u

NYY team YRFI

T.Grisham o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

1.1u

NYY -118

NYY -110

0.91u

Luis Castillo’s home ERA looks strong on paper (2.89), but opponents still batting .240+ off Seattle. Yankees lead MLB in HRs, runs, and team OPS (.267/.351/.489). Castillo gave up 5 ER in his last home start. NY hits .276 on the road, .270 w/ RISP – elite clutch offense. Warren may be unknown, but he’s heating up – 7.1 IP, 7 K, 1 ER vs OAK. Seattle's .217 AVG at home is 27th in MLB. M’s rank 19th in hits and rely too much on the long ball. Mariners 2-3 in Castillo's home starts this year – not automatic. NY 5-2 last 7 vs SEA, Mariners just 2-4 in their last 6 overall. Yankees are 3-1 as road favorites vs AL West, and Judge crushing – .410 AVG, 14 HR, 1.268 OPS. Mariners hit just .176 with 0 HR last night – offense still cold.

W.Warren u5.5 Ks-132

0.4u

NYY -108 (F5)

0.54u

Warren (18.0 K-BB% since first start) estimators around 1/2 run better than Castillo (5.0 K-BB% L5) - NYY 140/134/174 wRC+ Rd/v RHP/L7 days, SEA 111/123/93 - NYY also better pen numbers, so full game is fine too.

Under 8.5-130

0.5u

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 1-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mariners' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	4-6	3-4	1-2	3-5	1-1
Yankees	7-2	2-1	5-1	6-2	1-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	5-5	4-3	1-2	5-3	0-2
Yankees	4-4-1	3-0	1-4-1	3-4-1	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	4-6	3-4	1-2	3-5	1-1
Yankees	7-2	2-1	5-1	6-2	1-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 14th	NYY	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SEA +122
May 13th	NYY	L 5-11	+1.5 L	O 8	NYY +127
May 11th	TOR	L 1-9	-1.5 L	O 8	TOR -185
May 11th	TOR	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TOR -138
May 10th	TOR	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 7	TOR -151

Carlos Rodon
SP
Rodon is out with elbow
Out
Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out with elbow
Out
Clarke Schmidt
SP
Schmidt is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Volpe
SS
Volpe is out with shoulder
Out

Miles Mastrobuoni
3B
Mastrobuoni is out with calf
Out
Bryce Miller
SP
Miller is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RW.Warren, P	92	5	9
LT.Matzek, P	14	0.2	1
RI.Hamilton, P	17	1.1	2
RF.Cruz, P	18	1	0
RL.Weaver, P	15	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Grisham, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Rice, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
2O.Peraza, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
3A.Judge, DH	2-4	1	1	1
4C.Bellinger, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Volpe, SS	1-4	1	0	0
6J.Dominguez, LF	1-4	0	0	1
7D.LeMahieu, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Escarra, C	0-2	0	0	0
8P.Goldschmidt, PH	1-2	1	1	1
8P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-2	1	1	1
9J.Vivas, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
9P.Reyes, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Wells, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	93	6	6	1
LG.Speier, P	10	1	2	1
RC.Vargas, P	17	1	2	1
RC.Snider, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Mastrobuoni, 2B	0-4	0	0
2J.Polanco, DH	1-3	0	0
3J.Rodriguez, CF	1-4	0	2
4C.Raleigh, C	2-4	0	0
5R.Arozarena, LF	0-2	0	0
6R.Tellez, 1B	0-2	0	0
6D.Moore, PH	0-1	0	0
6D.Moore, 1B	0-1	0	0
7L.Taveras, RF	0-4	1	0
8B.Williamson, 3B	0-4	0	0
9L.Rivas, SS	1-3	1	0
9M.Garver, PH	0-1	0	0