The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Chicago White Sox on July 2, 2025. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on CHSN.
Find my MLB betting preview and White Sox vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
- White Sox vs Dodgers picks: Under 9.5 (-122) | Play to Under 9 (-105)
My White Sox vs Dodgers best bet is Under 9.5 (-122). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
White Sox vs Dodgers Odds
White Sox Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -146 | 9 -115o / -105u | +250 |
Dodgers Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +122 | 9 -115o / -105u | -316 |
White Sox vs Dodgers Projected Starting Pitchers
RHP Brandon Eisert (CWS) | Stat | LHP Clayton Kershaw (LAD) |
---|---|---|
2-1 | W-L | 4-0 |
0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
4.33/3.31 | ERA /xERA | 3.03/3.90 |
3.34/3.49 | FIP / xFIP | 4.28/4.07 |
1.33 | WHIP | 1.19 |
21.2% | K-BB% | 10.3% |
41.2% | GB% | 47.4% |
80 | Stuff+ | 94 |
111 | Location+ | 96 |
Kenny Ducey’s White Sox vs Dodgers Preview
The White Sox had found a little magic behind their pitching staff of late, taking three out of their last four — until they ran into the Dodgers on Tuesday night in what was a one-sided loss.
Still, this team is at the very least not the worst in baseball right now. They're sporting a solid 9.4% walk rate over the last two weeks with a 23.6% strikeout rate which is bad — but far from catastrophic. Their Isolated Power is at .129 as well — hardly the worst — and it's just come down to consistent contact for this order. With Brooks Baldwin returning to take over for some slumping bats at the bottom of the order, we shouldn't be expecting anything to get any worse.
Now, Chicago does have five starting pitchers — but you won't see one of them begin this one. Instead, the White Sox will dust off a solid left-handed reliever in Brandon Eisert to get things started before Sean Burke takes over behind him. The move makes sense, considering Eisert has done a bang-up job out of the bullpen and will be deployed against Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman, and it's not as if Burke has had the best season.
At 25, Burke had his fair share of ups and downs in his first full season at this level. His Expected Slugging resides at a brutal .499, which has worked in conjunction with a bad 10.5% walk rate to help his opponents come up with some game-breaking hits. His Expected Batting Average has at least leveled out around the league average in the last two months, and his xSLG hit .376 in May before jumping back to .492 this month.
There are some signs of life, and the walk rate is making its way back down as well, but like any young pitcher, we're just going to have to monitor closely amidst a volatile season.
Clayton Kershaw has been pretty damn good since a rocky season debut in mid-May against the Angels. He's now sporting expected numbers around the league average throughout the season, but in June, his xBA has come down to .233 with a .372 xSLG to match what we've seen out of the future Hall of Famer in his twilight years.
His strikeout rate has also come up over 20% this month, which is encouraging, and his walk rate is at a more-manageable 6.4%. He's found a way to generate outs with more consistency, and helping his cause is a steady rise in ground balls. This should help him grab even more of an edge here, considering the White Sox own an OPS that's 71 points higher against fly-ball pitchers, ranking third-worst against ground-ballers.
This offense continues to sit in a holding pattern — but for an offense which is clearly the best in baseball, all that means is they're a borderline top-10 group over the last two weeks. Their ISO is a whopping .209, and their plate discipline numbers look fine — this team could just use some more hits, slashing .243/.318/.452 in the last 14 days.
White Sox vs Dodgers Prediction, Betting Analysis
I'm not the highest on Burke, but as we noted, young pitchers are always going to experience some adventures early in their careers. For the righty, you've got to be encouraged by the recent returns in all of his weaker areas, and as long as he's keeping the walks down, he's going to avoid the cancerous outings which have severely hampered Chicago's chances of winning when he takes the ball.
I'm a fan of the opener in this instance, and think Burke's improved control and lower xBA should help him navigate a Dodgers lineup that is just a bit worse than its best right now, and which has walked at a lower clip of late — even if a 9% walk rate is still considered good.
On the opposite end, the White Sox will be at a disadvantage with Kershaw finding his groove with ground balls, and with both of these teams hitting .211 and .243 in the last two weeks, respectively, it won't take a ton of effort from either arm to keep this one a low-scoring affair.
I'm confident we'll see a rock fight, much like the ones Chicago's been winning in the last week.
Pick: Under 9.5 (-122)
Moneyline
I will not be betting on either side of the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I'm also staying away from run line bets.
Over/Under
As mentioned, I see value in the Under for tonight's game.