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Reds vs Cubs Prediction, Pick, Odds: Weather Will Impact This Tuesday’s MLB Game

Reds vs Cubs Prediction, Pick, Odds: Weather Will Impact This Tuesday’s MLB Game article feature image
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Matt Blewett-Imagn Images. Pictured: Reds SP Andrew Abbott

The Chicago Cubs host the Cincinnati Reds on May 5, 2026. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on MARQ.

The Cubs are favored by -170 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are +140 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Reds vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Reds vs Cubs Prediction

  • Reds vs Cubs Pick: Under 8 (-105)

My Reds vs Cubs best bet is Under 8 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Reds vs Cubs Odds

Reds Logo
Tuesday, May 5
7:40 p.m. ET
MARQ
Cubs Logo
Reds Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-160
8
-115o / -105u
+140
Cubs Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+135
8
-115o / -105u
-170
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
BetMGM Logo
  • Reds vs Cubs moneyline: Reds +140, Cubs -170
  • Reds vs Cubs over/under: 8 (-115o / -105u)
  • Reds vs Cubs spread: Reds +1.5 (-160), Cubs -1.5 (+135)

Reds vs Cubs Probable Pitchers

LHP Andrew Abbott (CIN)StatRHP Jameson Taillon (CHC)
1-2W-L2-1
0.3fWAR (FanGraphs)-0.2
5.97 / 5.20ERA / xERA4.41 / 4.11
4.93 / 4.61FIP / xFIP5.94 / 4.57
5.7K-BB%12.8
46.2GB%32.6
.333BABIP.207
92Stuff+94
97Location+99

Reds vs Cubs MLB Betting Preview

Editor's Note: This written article is a transcription from the latest episode of the Payoff Pitch podcast.

I'm going with Reds vs. Cubs Under 8 today.

The wind was blowing out at Wrigley Field for the past couple of days, but today it's blowing in, and it's also going to be 54 degrees. Should be a very run-suppressing environment there.

Even though Andrew Abbott will be on the mound for Cincinnati, and considering he's capable of walking anybody and imploding the under without the weather impacting anything, I do make this total about 7.5.

So, my pick is Under 8 at -110 or better between the Reds and the Cubs with the wind blowing in at Wrigley.

Pick: Under 8 (-105, BetMGM)


Reds vs Cubs Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.
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About the Author

Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

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