The Toronto Blue Jays host the Houston Astros on June 24, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNET.
The Blue Jays are favored by -161 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Astros are +135 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Astros vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Astros vs Blue Jays Pick: Under 8.5
My Astros vs Blue Jays best bet is on game totals. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Astros vs Blue Jays Odds
| Astros Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -157 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +135 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +130 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -161 |
- Astros vs Blue Jays moneyline: Astros +135, Blue Jays -161
- Astros vs Blue Jays over/under: 8.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Astros vs Blue Jays spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+130 ), Astros +1.5 (-157)
Astros vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
| RHP Mike Burrows (HOU) | Stat | RHP Trey Yesavage (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | W-L | 3-3 |
| -0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.0 |
| 5.79 / 4.65 | ERA / xERA | 3.76 / 2.95 |
| 5.64 / 4.68 | FIP / xFIP | 3.78 / 4.52 |
| 10.2% | K-BB% | 12.5% |
| 37.8 | GB% | 33.3% |
| .325 | BABIP | .243 |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 110 |
| 98 | Location+ | 87 |
Astros vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview
The Houston Astros come into this matchup with a 38-43 record and are 18-22 on the road. Houston picked up a much-needed 9-7 win over the Blue Jays in tjeir last game and will look to carry that momentum into this new chapter.
Mike Burrows gets the start for the Astros. While he owns a 6.55 ERA over his last three appearances, he has done a solid job limiting damage in key situations, holding opponents to a .234/.299/.441 slash line with runners in scoring position throughout his career.
The Toronto Blue Jays, meanwhile, are 39-40 on the season and 22-19 at home. Toronto has been more competitive at Rogers Centre and will try to bounce back.
Trey Yesavage takes the mound for the Blue Jays. His recent results have been inconsistent, posting a 7.00 ERA across his last three starts, though he has still managed to rack up 14 strikeouts. Interestingly, Yesavage has been much better on the road in his career, carrying a 4.55 ERA at home compared to a 2.89 ERA away from Toronto.
Astros vs Blue Jays Pick, Betting Analysis
Evan Abrams' Unders with Soft Starters and Neutral Winds Bet Lab System isolates a sharp regular-season edge in games three or four of a series. By this point, hitters have repeatedly seen the opposing bullpen, and scouting reports are razor-sharp.
When softer home starters — characterized by low strikeout rates and moderate WHIPs — take the mound under neutral wind conditions, the market often overestimates the offense, overlooking how these grinding, late-series environments favor a slower pace and lower scoring.
Today’s Astros-Blue Jays matchup fits this under-the-radar blueprint perfectly. Toronto starter Trey Yesavage enters with an inconsistent 7.00 ERA over his last three starts and a historically higher 4.55 ERA at Rogers Centre.
Meanwhile, Houston counters with Mike Burrows, who sports a 6.55 ERA but excels at limiting damage with runners in scoring position (.234 opponent average). Expect the offenses to stall in this middle-of-the-season grind. Back the Under.
Pick: Under 8.5
