The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Minnesota Twins on May 29, 2026. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on Apple TV+.
The Pirates are favored by -134 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Twins are +114 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Twins vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Twins vs Pirates Prediction
- Twins vs Pirates Pick: Taj Bradley Over 2.5 Walks (+125)
My Twins vs Pirates best bet is on Taj Bradley to allow over 2.5 walks. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Twins vs Pirates Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -192 | 8 -115o / -105u | +114 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +158 | 8 -115o / -105u | -134 |
- Twins vs Pirates moneyline: Twins +114 Pirates -134
- Twins vs Pirates over/under: 8 (-115o / -105u)
- Twins vs Pirates spread: Pirates -1.5 (+158), Twins +1.5 (-192)
Twins vs Pirates Probable Pitchers
| RHP Taj Bradley (MIN) | Stat | RHP Jared Jones (PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | W-L | Season Debut |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | — |
| 2.77/3.61 | ERA / xERA | — |
| 3.26/3.73 | FIP / xFIP | — |
| 18.4% | K-BB% | — |
| 34.6% | GB% | — |
| .280 | BABIP | — |
| 108 | Stuff+ | — |
| 91 | Location+ | — |
Twins vs Pirates MLB Betting Preview, Picks
Taj Bradley has been excellent this season. He owns a 2.77 ERA backed by a 3.61 xERA, 3.73 xFIP, and 3.54 SIERA across 52 innings pitched.
While some regression in his ERA is expected, this is a significant jump in his career. Bradley is a better pitcher than ever, with a career-best 1.17 WHIP and career-high 97.1 MPH average fastball velocity.
Nevertheless, Bradley still has some pain points. Notably, he is struggling to limit walks on the road.
Home BB% – 5.1%
Away BB% – 10.9%
This alone makes his over 2.5 walks bet appealing, but combined with the Pirates' ranking seventh in team BB%, there is a lot to like. The Pirates will be without two key hitters. Ryan O'Hearn and Konnor Griffin are out, yet that could play in favor of Bradley hitting this line.
The Twins are going to rely heavily on Bradley today after their bullpen usage in recent games. Taylor Rogers, Anthony Banda, and Yoendrys Gomez have all pitched in three of the past five games. This does not guarantee absence, but the Twins will likely prefer to keep their high-leverage arms shelved.
Bradley is no stranger to pitching deep into games. He has thrown at least 6 IP in nine starts.
Pick: Taj Bradley Over 2.5 Walks (+125)
