Wednesday's 14-game slate gets started early with White Sox vs. Orioles at 12:35 p.m. ET and continues into the late hours of the night.
Our experts have you covered all day long on Wednesday, July 1.
Check out our four MLB best bets today that you have to add to your betting card.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 12:35 p.m. | |
  | 1:35 p.m. | |
  | 2:20 p.m. | |
  | 8:10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Tanner McGrath's White Sox vs Orioles Best Bet
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
This system tracks modest favorites in conference games where the market slightly shifts toward them, often due to subtle edge signals that public models do not capture.
Minor moneyline movement from open to close shows quiet but meaningful sharp action.
Pythagorean advantage (1.6% to 500%) confirms underlying team quality without large margins in the prior game.
Opening lines between −145 and −115 suggest limited public interest, creating pricing inefficiencies.
Totals between 7 and 9.5 help avoid extremes that can skew results.
The strategy rides light market momentum in tight, competitive spots where fundamental metrics signal a long-term edge.
Pick: Orioles ML (-150 or Better)
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Ryan Minion's Nationals vs Red Sox Best Bet
By Ryan Minion
This could be a tough road start for Andrew Alvarez, especially in a hitter-friendly park like Fenway.
Alvarez’s best pitch is his curveball, which he throws around 30% of the time and has a 33% whiff rate. But his main secondary offering is his slider (27% usage), which has allowed a whopping .363 xwOBA.
That leaves him vulnerable to a hitter like Willson Contreras, who is slugging over .500 against sliders with a +5 Run Value.
Contreras is a patient hitter who lays off stuff out of the zone and works the count well, and I think that’ll force Alvarez to leave a slider over the heart of the plate, where he might pay the ultimate price.
Pick: Wilson Contreras Over 1.5 Total Bases (-100 or Better)
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Sean Paul's Padres vs Cubs Best Bet
By Sean Paul
The days of Walker Buehler striking out hitters at a high rate are a thing of the past. But he boosted his K/9 to 8.08 this year, his best rate since 2021.
I still struggle to trust Buehler since we're looking at a four-year sample of disaster. However, he seems to know how to pitch better than to throw now, given his diminished velocity.
Offense is the real issue for San Diego.
It has the worst wRC+ in the league, but the Padres are up to 23rd in wRC+ in June. Fernando Tatis Jr. is finally hitting like himself, posting a 129 wRC+ with three homers in 26 games. Some of the other key cogs have failed to carry their weight. Four of the top six hitters in the order — Gavin Sheets, Xander Bogaerts, Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill — each have a wRC+ below 105.
The key to the Padres winning is getting to the sixth inning with the lead. If Buehler gives the Padres a full five, the best bullpen in the league can shut the door.
When the game gets into the latter stages, the advantage lies with San Diego.
If this game ends up high-scoring, Chicago has the edge.
However, I value what Buehler has done across his past seven outings enough to think he can contain this hot Cubs offense.
That should give the Pads enough of a chance to take the final game of this series.
Pick: Padres ML (+102 or Better)
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Sean Zerillo's Twins vs Astros Best Bet
By Sean Zerillo
My projections show solid value on the Astros moneyline tonight.
If you want to dive deeper into this matchup, check out BARTOLO, my new PRO baseball betting tool.
Pick: Astros ML (-135 or Better)
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