We have a full 15-game slate on Saturday, starting with White Sox vs Tigers at 1:10 PM at Comerica Park on MLB.TV, and closing with Orioles vs Dodgers at 10:10 PM ET at Dodger Stadium on MLB.TV.
Our experts have analyzed the matchups and found great options for Saturday, June 20.
Below are 4 expert MLB best bets today.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each matchup our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:10 PM | |
  | 4:10 PM | |
  | 7:15 PM | |
  | 10:10 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Tanner McGrath's White Sox vs Tigers Best Bet
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
This system tracks modest favorites in conference games where the market slightly shifts toward them, often due to subtle edge signals that public models do not capture.
Minor moneyline movement from open to close shows quiet but meaningful sharp action.
Pythagorean advantage (1.6% to 500%) confirms underlying team quality without large margins in the prior game.
Opening lines between −145 and −115 suggest limited public interest, creating pricing inefficiencies.
The strategy rides light market momentum in tight, competitive spots where fundamental metrics signal a long-term edge.
The White Sox have yet to announce a starting pitcher for this game, which leaves us with incomplete information.
However, I'm still fine with fading the Sox in this case.
Chicago's lineup is very watered down at the moment without Munetaka Murakami. Zerillo projects this lineup with a 90 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, providing Detroit with a significant position player advantage.
I don't yet know how I feel about Tory Melton. He's obviously due for some negative regression (2.81 ERA, 4.57 xFIP), but he's ripped off 10 strikeouts to just two walks over his past 13 innings, suggesting he's got some command over his stuff.
The Tigers managed a gutsy 4-3 win in yesterday's matchup, and I'm banking they do it again on Saturday.
Pick: Tigers ML (-150 or Better)
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Kev Mahserejian's Brewers vs Braves Best Bet
Chris Sale takes the mound for the Braves today after being pushed back one day. He has an excellent 2.30 ERA this season, with an even better 1.26 ERA at home!
However, his peripheral stats are worse at home than on the road. He has a lower strikeout rate and higher walk rate, while his xFIP is almost a full run higher.
Sale is also a much worse pitcher against right-handed hitters this season. His walk rate against righties (7.1%) is nearly double his walk rate against lefties (3.8%).
Meanwhile, the Brewers are one of the best teams in baseball at taking walks against LHP. They rank third thus far with a 10.7% rate, despite ranking 18th in wRC+ against LHP.
This disparity could be used to our advantage today. Milwaukee is a heavy platoon team and will likely stack mediocre right-handed hitters with good plate discipline at the bottom of their order.
Their offense has cooled down overall throughout the past two weeks, and they could be in for a long outing from Sale, who has allowed Over 1.5 BB in five of his past eight starts. He has hit the over in all three home starts within this span.
Pick: Chris Sale Over 1.5 Walks (-120 or Better)
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Sean Zerillo's Guardians vs Astros Best Bet
By Sean Zerillo
I project some value on the Astros in this matchup.
While the consensus sits around -140, I project the Astros ML at -163, representing a 3.2% edge against the market.
As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
I recommend checking out BARTOLO for a deeper statistical breakdown of this game. I project the Astros with a 118 wRC+ against left-handed pitching, while I project the Guardians with a 93 wRC+ against right-handed pitching (without Jose Ramirez) — that 25% difference in offensive production is the biggest reason I see value on Houston in this matchup.
Pick: Astros ML (-150 or Better)
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Matt Trollo's Orioles vs Dodgers Best Bet
By Matt Trollo
This is one I haven't recorded in the app yet because I plan to wait and see if this line goes much higher.
The Dodgers are at home, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto is on the mound. I'm not as concerned about missing the play in the rare circumstance it drops below +200 as I'd be about the line increasing.
Trevor Rogers has not followed up on his monster half-season with the Orioles last year. Although his 5.86 ERA is due to some regression with a .310 BABIP and 61.6 LOB%, his best non-pitch modeling estimator (4.37 xERA) is just shy of 1.5 runs less.
There is some optimism in a 3.87 Bot ERA, but the 98 Pitching+ is a bit conflicting.
No doubt Yamamoto (3.31 SIERA & ERA) is the far superior pitcher, even if he's due more than half a run of regression on his 2.52 ERA (.219 BABIP, 82 LOB%).
It's beyond the starting pitchers where things start to get interesting.
The Dodgers are clearly in their inferior split against LHP, even with a respectable 105 wRC+. The Orioles are three points higher against RHP.
The projected lineups tell a similar story, with the Dodgers only three points higher against LHP than the Orioles against RHP since last year. Both projected lineups have a 119 wRC+ over the last 30 days.
Offensively, smaller than expected edge to the Dodgers.
Defensively, the Dodgers beat the Orioles by 23 Runs Prevented and 29 OAA. However, with their inferior offensive split, the Dodgers may also be placing their inferior defense on the field (5 FRV) compared to Baltimore's better defensive lineup (7 FRV).
Lastly, the Dodgers do have the better bullpen, but it's only an eight-team and quarter-of-a-run gap via BARTOLO and the same quarter-of-a-run gap by the last 30-day estimators (FIP, xFIP, SIERA).
Both lineups even project 0 BRR (Base Running Runs).
Large starting pitching edge for the Dodgers, but closer than you might expect everywhere else. I'm waiting to see where the market goes, but I will probably be playing the Orioles at +200 or better at some point on Saturday, barring any significant lineup surprises.
Pick: Orioles ML (+200 or Better)
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