A full 15-game slate awaits us on Wednesday, April 16. Our MLB betting experts have looked over today's MLB odds and found some of the best value on the board.
In fact, they've zeroed in on a trio of plus-money picks. So, before the value is gone, let's dig right into today's MLB best bets.
MLB Best Bets, Prop Picks, Predictions 4/16
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:35 p.m. | |
  | 7:05 p.m. | |
  | 8:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Prop Model's Guardians vs Orioles Best Bet: Fade Kremer
By Prop Model
Dean Kremer's strikeouts prop looks like a strong wager based on the current data. The line of 4.5 strikeouts grades out favorably based on our MLB simulations. The prop projects to hit 60.27% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 13.76% edge. You can find all prop bet evaluations in ParlayIQ.
Pick: Dean Kremer Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115)
| | |
Sean Zerillo's Red Sox vs Rays Best Bet: Back Boston at Plus Money
By Sean Zerillo
Zack Littell was a serviceable mid-rotation arm last season (4.34 xERA, 4.01 xFIP, 16.8% K-BB%, 100 Pitching+) in his first year as a full-time starter.
Despite permitting 12 runs over his past two starts, underlying indicators, velocity levels, and pitch mix say that he's essentially the same pitcher as last year, aside from exchanging some four-seam fastballs for sinkers.
Littell's projected rest-of-season FIP is between 4.21 and 4.79, with a slightly better average projection but a similar median projection (4.36 vs. 4.46) as Sean Newcomb's (projected range of 4.37 to 4.90), despite vastly different walk rates.
