There are 9 games, including a doubleheader, on Thursday's MLB slate and our MLB betting experts have already sifted through the odds to find the best bets on the board.
Our experts are targeting a variety of MLB prop picks today and have strikeout, home run and walk picks.
So, be sure to continue reading as tonight's MLB best bets are below.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 9:29 p.m. | |
| 9:29 p.m. | |
  | 9:40 p.m. | |
  | 10:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Derek Carty's Pirates vs Angels Pick: Value on Reynolds
By Derek Carty
There may be some value on Bryan Reynolds' walks prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.55 walks, and oddsmakers are implying 0.36. The model believes there is a 43% chance he records at least one walk, so there is value on the over at +215.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Walks (+215)
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Grant Neiffer's Pirates vs Angels Best Bet: Back Cruz to Keep Crushing
This is a lefty/lefty matchup and Oneil Cruz has struggled with lefties in the past, but I don't really care because it's Tyler Anderson.
Anderson has some pretty massive reverse splits and has been crushed by lefty power his his career. Anderson owns a large 1.39 HR/9 in his career against lefties and that number has been sitting close to two over the past few years.
Cruz is also one of the most powerful bats in the league and gets a ballpark upgrade today playing over in Anaheim. I have the true odds of Cruz homering today at around +340, making this a good EV bet.
Pick: Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs (+390)
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Jim Turvey's Rays vs Diamondbacks Best Bet: Fade Burnes
By Jim Turvey
While he's still produced decent overall results, the 2025 season has continued a long trend of Corbin Burnes' dropping strikeout rate. Here are Burnes' strikeout rates over the past six seasons: 36.7%, 35.6%, 30.5%, 25.5%, 23.1% and 18.5%. That's an incredibly clear arc, and it pairs with both his swinging-strike rate (down from 16.6% to 8.8% over that stretch) and stuff drops (125 to 103) as well.
