With 16 games on the docket for May 6, baseball bettors have no shortage of options. There are plenty of props to choose from and predictions to make, which is exactly what our MLB betting experts have done.
After digging through the odds, they've identified betting value and broken down their picks below.
Continue reading for today's MLB bets bets.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:40 p.m. | |
  | 7:40 p.m. | |
  | 7:40 p.m. | |
  | 10:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Charlie Wright's Dodgers vs Marlins Best Bet: Teams Running All Over Miami
The Marlins are giving up stolen bases at a ridiculous rate. They're allowing 1.82 steals per game, which is easily the most in the league. Tampa Bay is in second at 1.18 and no team allowed more than one steal per game in 2024.
Additionally, the Marlins have four pitchers who rank top 10 in steals allowed per game. Sandy Alcantara and Edward Cabrera lead the league, while tonight's starter, Cal Quantrill, is tied for 10th.
The Marlins have three catchers on the roster and none of them have been able to slow down the running game. Liam Hicks is 2-for-17 in attempting to nab base stealers. Nick Fortes is 1-for-12, and Augustin Ramirez is 0-for-11. It doesn't matter who draws the start behind the plate tonight.
Shohei Ohtani is one of eight players with double-digit steals this season and has a stolen base in all four games against Miami this season. Quantrill has been one of the most hittable pitchers in the league, allowing a .342 batting average supported by a .329 xBA (2nd percentile). He's 15th percentile or worse in hard-hit rate, barrel rate and average exit velocity. Quantrill has an ugly 16:10 K:BB, so Ohtani should have no trouble getting on base. The main issue is keeping him in the yard. Home runs don't help us here.
Pick: Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 Steals (+200)
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Grant Neiffer's Orioles vs Twins Best Bet: Can Buxton Stay Hot?
Byron Buxton has been a great power bat throughout his career and is off to a great start with seven homers through 32 games.
The matchup today is great vs. Cade Povich, who has been a gas can in his career against righties. Povich owns a large 1.83 HR/9 in his career against righties to go along with heavy fly ball rates. I have the true odds on Buxton homering at around +280, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Home Runs (+340)
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Jim Turvey's White Sox vs Royals Best Bet: Fade Burke
By Jim Turvey
