The MLB postseason has arrived!
The Wild Card Round begins today, September 30, and there are 4 games on the schedule to start the playoffs. Our MLB betting experts and systems have looked over the latest MLB odds and have made predictions and picks for all four games. So, let's dive right in and look at today's MLB best bets.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:08 p.m. | |
  | 3:08 p.m. | |
  | 6:08 p.m. | |
  | 9:08 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Sean Zerillo's Tigers vs Guardians Best Bet: Back Skubal
By Sean Zerillo
After taking five of six games from their division rival in September, as Detroit slid to the worst divisional collapse (from a 15.5 game lead) in MLB history, the Guardians are undoubtedly the public side of this Wild Card series.
Skubal's final two outings of a potential second consecutive Cy Young campaign (2.74 xERA, 2.67 xFIP, 27.8% K-BB%, 119 Pitching+, 2.62 botERA) both came against the Guardians. In his last start, Cleveland managed to score three runs against him in a sequence where the ball didn't leave the infield (error, an infield single, a wild pitch, a balk, and a groundout). Otherwise, the southpaw has dominated across four appearances (combined 28 IP, 2 ER, 20 H, 5 BB, 40 K).
The Guardians have the least potent offense in the American League playoffs, ranking 27th against both left- and right-handed pitching over the past 30 days, 16% to 18% below the league-average offense.
Given the nature of the three-game series without an off-day and the relative shakiness of their bullpen, I also expect A.J. Hinch and the Tigers to push Skubal as far as they can in this contest. As a result, I'd personally set Skubal Over 18.5 closer to a pick 'em price than +140, and would recommend taking Over 18.5 at +110 or better.
