The Tampa Bay Rays host the Philadelphia Phillies on May 8, 2025. First pitch from George M. Steinbrenner Field is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
The Phillies enter as -155 favorites on the moneyline with the over/under at 9.
Read ourPhillies vs Rays predictions and MLB betting picks below.
Phillies vs Rays Prediction, Picks
- Phillies vs Rays Pick: Phillies ML (-135 · BetMGM)
My Rays vs. Phillies best bet is on Philadelphia to win. Check our live MLB odds page to find the best odds.
Phillies vs Rays Odds, Spread, Lines
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +110 | 9 +102o / -122u | -155 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -130 | 9 +102o / -122u | +130 |
Phillies vs Rays Projected Pitchers
| LHP Jesus Luzardo (PHI) | Stat | RHP Ryan Pepiot (TBR) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | W-L | 2-4 |
| 1.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 1.94 / 2.86 | ERA /xERA | 4.23 / 4.66 |
| 1.94 / 2.99 | FIP / xFIP | 5.15 / 4.18 |
| 1.18 | WHIP | 1.41 |
| 21.2% | K-BB% | 12.6% |
| 47.7% | GB% | 42.2% |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 112 | Location+ | 103 |
Phillies vs Rays MLB Pick, Betting Analysis
By Brit Devine
I can’t understand this line.
The Phillies are starting southpaw Jesus Luzardo on the mound, who is having an excellent season with advanced metrics that back up his performance.
Meanwhile, the Rays have been among the worst lineups against left-handed pitching this season, ranking 27th among MLB teams in wRC+ against the side (61). Luzardo should carve Tampa up.
Tampa Bay starting pitcher Ryan Pepiot had a good 2024 but regressed significantly in 2025. He could struggle against the Phillies, who rank among MLB’s top 10 lineups in wRC+ against right-handed pitching (110).
The Phillies should be at least -150 on the ML on Thursday, so I'll happily gobble up the -135 available at BetMGM.
Pick: Phillies ML (-135 · BetMGM)
