The Cleveland Guardians host the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 18, 2026. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CLEG.
The Guardians are favored by -125 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Pirates are +105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Pirates vs Guardians prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Guardians Prediction
- Pirates vs Guardians Pick: Jared Jones Over 14.5 Outs (-150)
My Pirates vs Guardians best bet is on Jared Jones to complete at least five innings this afternoon. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Guardians Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -210 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | +105 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +170 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | -125 |
- Pirates vs Guardians moneyline: Pirates +105, Guardians -125
- Pirates vs Guardians over/under: 7.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Pirates vs Guardians spread: Pirates +1.5 (-210), Guardians -1.5 (+170)
Pirates vs Guardians Probable Pitchers
| Jared Jones (RHP, PIT) | Stat | Gavin Williams (RHP, CLE) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 10-4 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.9 |
| 4.37 / 3.61 | ERA / xERA | 3.81 / 4.43 |
| 3.67 / 3.44 | FIP / xFIP | 3.74 / 3.16 |
| 19.4 | K-BB% | 21.1 |
| 45.2 | GB% | 47.3 |
| .270 | BABIP | .283 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 104 |
| 105 | Location+ | 104 |
Pirates vs Guardians MLB Betting Preview, Prediction
By Nick Galaida
No team goes into Game 1 of a doubleheader thinking that they will get fewer than five innings from their starter.
Jared Jones is on a workload restriction, but the Pirates' plan A will certainly be to get him through 15 outs.
The smoke in the area remains problematic, which could be a slight benefit for pitching if it's affecting hitters' visibility at all.
This is a very playable price for a talented pitcher against a light-hitting Guardians offense.
Pick: Jared Jones Over 14.5 Outs (-150, bet365)
