The Toronto Blue Jays host the Pittsburgh Pirates on May 23, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 3:07 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SNET.
The Pirates are favored by -154 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Blue Jays are +130 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Pirates vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Pirates vs Blue Jays Pick: Pirates ML (-154)
My Pirates vs Blue Jays best bet is on Pittsburgh to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Blue Jays Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +112 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | -154 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -134 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | +130 |
- Pirates vs Blue Jays moneyline: Pirates -154, Blue Jays +130
- Pirates vs Blue Jays over/under: 7.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Pirates vs Blue Jays spread: Pirates -1.5 (+112), Blue Jays +1.5 (-134)
Pirates vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
| RHP Paul Skenes (PIT) | Stat | LHP Patrick Corbin (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 2.62 / 2.07 | ERA / xERA | 4.23 / 6.36 |
| 2.64 / 2.88 | FIP / xFIP | 4.48 / 4.66 |
| 26.4 | K-BB% | 7.2 |
| 42.3 | GB% | 37.1 |
| .203 | BABIP | .331 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 93 |
| 114 | Location+ | 102 |
Pirates vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview
Our own Sean Zerillo projects an edge on the Pirates moneyline for this matchup.
While the consensus line sits at -155, Zerillo projects them as a -174 favorite for this game, representing a 2.7% edge against the market, making Pittsburgh a nice choice with a C+ grade on our system.
Also, the number of bets and percentage of money show increasing support for this option heading into today's first pitch.
As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
Pirates vs Blue Jays Pick, Betting Analysis
Despite his last awful outing against the Phillies, the primary reason to back Pittsburgh today, even on the road, is Paul Skenes.
The Pirates' ace is putting together another spectacular season. Through 10 starts, Skenes boasts a 6-3 record with a 2.62 ERA and an incredible 0.71 WHIP. He has struck out 63 batters in 55.0 innings.
Before his past start against Philly, he threw eight scoreless innings back-to-back against Arizona and Colorado, with just four hits and 17 strikeouts combined.
On the other side, Blue Jays SP Patrick Corbin is far from a guarantee with a 1.44 WHIP, facing a Pittsburgh lineup that ranks ninth in wRC+ in the majors with 104.
Plus, the Pirates actually have a winning record on the road so far, with 13-12.
Pick: Pirates ML (-154, FanDuel)
