The Tampa Bay Rays host the Seattle Mariners on July 10, 2026. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SEAM.
The Mariners are favored by -117 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rays are -102 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mariners vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mariners vs Rays Prediction
- Mariners vs Rays Pick: Cedric Mullins Home Run (+474 or Better)
My Mariners vs Rays best bet is on Mullins to record a home run. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mariners vs Rays Odds
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -191 | 8 -119o / -103u | -102 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +165 | 8 -119o / -103u | -117 |
- Mariners vs Rays moneyline: Mariners -102, Rays -117
- Mariners vs Rays over/under: 8 (-119o / -103u)
- Mariners vs Rays spread: Mariners -1.5 (+165), Rays +1.5 (-191)
Mariners vs Rays Probable Pitchers
| Luis Castillo | Stat | Nick Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | W-L | 7-2 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.8 |
| 4.79 / 4.57 | ERA / xERA | 2.61 / 4.69 |
| 3.83 / 4.39 | FIP / xFIP | 3.82 / 4.60 |
| 13.7 | K-BB% | 10.5 |
| 36.7 | GB% | 33.9 |
| .300 | BABIP | .269 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 110 | Location+ | 105 |
Mariners vs Rays MLB Betting Preview
Mariners vs Rays Pick, Betting Analysis
Cedric Mullins has spent a decent chunk of the 2026 campaign sliding down into the back half of the Rays' batting order, but his power metrics remain highly dangerous under the hood. Mullins has already notched 10 home runs on the season, and tonight he draws a highly favorable schematic matchup against Seattle’s pitching staff.
The Mariners rely heavily on high-spin four-seam fastballs up in the zone. Throughout his career, Mullins has feasted on exactly that—pitchers who challenge him with velocity high and tight, where his compact, sweeping left-handed swing can generate optimal launch angles.
With the roof closed at Tropicana Field creating pristine hitting conditions, Mullins is primed to catch a hanging breaking ball or an elevated heater over the right-field wall. At current market odds, the value on him to go deep is too sharp to pass up.
Pick: Cedric Mullins Home Run (+474 or Better)
