The Baltimore Orioles host the Tampa Bay Rays on May 26, 2026. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MASN.
The Rays are favored by -113 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are -105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rays vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rays vs Orioles Prediction
- Rays vs Orioles Pick: Orioles ML -118 or Better
My Rays vs Orioles best bet is the Orioles moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Orioles Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +144 | 8.5 -119o / -101u | -112 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 8.5 -119o / -101u | -107 |
- Rays vs Orioles moneyline: Rays -113, Orioles -105
- Rays vs Orioles over/under: 8.5 (-120o / -100u)
- Rays vs Orioles spread: Rays -1.5 (+145), Orioles +1.5 (-175)
Rays vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
| Griffin Jax (RHP) | Stat | Shane Baz (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | W-L | 1-5 |
| -0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.5 |
| 3.54/4.47 | ERA / xERA | 4.87/4.61 |
| 4.82/4.30 | FIP / xFIP | 4.40/4.48 |
| 7.7 | K-BB% | 9.2 |
| 49.3 | GB% | 36.6 |
| .257 | BABIP | .304 |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 102 | Location+ | 99 |
Rays vs Orioles MLB Betting Preview
Editor’s Note: This written pick is a transcription from today’s episode of the Payoff Pitch Podcast.
I'm taking the Orioles today against the Rays. This is a team I was probably highest on coming into the season, and they’ve largely played up to that level so far.
That said, they’ve started losing some of those close games they were winning routinely early in the year. I do like them quite a bit in this spot.
I give the Orioles a clear bullpen advantage today. I have them as a top-5 bullpen, while I rate the Rays as slightly below average for this slate — especially considering the rest and availability on both sides after yesterday’s extra-innings game.
I also project the Orioles to have the better offense: 110 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching compared to a slightly below-average mark for the Rays. Reverting to my power and patience grades, I have the Orioles at a B- in both power and plate discipline — very strong team-wide marks. The Rays grade out as D- in power and C+ in plate discipline.
The Rays’ only real advantage is on the basepaths, but even that has been neutralized lately. A lot of it is tied to Chandler Simpson, whose stolen base success has dropped off sharply. He’s sitting at 14 steals and 8 caught stealings — his effectiveness has basically been wiped out.
Griffin Jax has improved as they’ve stretched him out as a starter, but his K-BB rate is still only around 8%. They’ve tried to expand his arsenal, but I’m not sure how much I buy into the changes. Right now, I project him as roughly a league-average starter with a weighted FIP around 4.1, and I’m not convinced he’ll get much better than that.
Overall, I make the Orioles around -130 in this matchup.
Pick: Orioles ML -118 or Better
